Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Bologna Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
23%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
59%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 13 8 4 1 19 9 10 28
2 Napoli 13 9 1 3 20 11 9 28
3 Inter 13 9 0 4 28 13 15 27
4 Roma 13 9 0 4 15 7 8 27
5 Como 13 6 6 1 19 7 12 24
6 Bologna 13 7 3 3 22 11 11 24
7 Juventus 13 6 5 2 17 12 5 23
8 Lazio 13 5 3 5 15 10 5 18
9 Udinese 13 5 3 5 14 20 -6 18
10 Sassuolo 13 5 2 6 16 16 0 17
11 Cremonese 13 4 5 4 16 17 -1 17
12 Atalanta 13 3 7 3 16 14 2 16
13 Torino 13 3 5 5 12 23 -11 14
14 Lecce 13 3 4 6 10 17 -7 13
15 Cagliari 13 2 5 6 13 19 -6 11
16 Genoa 13 2 5 6 13 20 -7 11
17 Parma 13 2 5 6 9 17 -8 11
18 Pisa 13 1 7 5 10 18 -8 10
19 Fiorentina 13 0 6 7 10 21 -11 6
20 Verona 13 0 6 7 8 20 -12 6

Recent Trends

Lazio ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)

Bologna ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 3

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Bologna is predicted to favor the away side, with Bologna holding a 59.0% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Lazio has a 23.0% chance of winning, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 19.0%. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 44.0% probability of under 2.5 goals. Currently, Bologna sits in 6th place in Serie A, while Lazio is in 8th.

Match Analysis

Lazio's recent form in the league has been inconsistent, with a record of one win and two losses in their last three matches. They managed a solid 2-0 win at home against Lecce but suffered defeats to Milan and Inter without scoring. Their defensive resilience, however, is evident in the three clean sheets they have kept in their last five games. Lazio's average goals scored and conceded in the last five matches are 1.6 and 0.8, respectively. Despite these numbers, their expected goals metric indicates some challenges in converting chances and defending against quality opportunities, with 1.022 expected goals scored and 1.336 expected goals conceded. On the other hand, Bologna comes into this match with confidence, having won two of their last three games, including a significant 2-0 victory over Napoli. Although they experienced a setback against Cremonese, their overall recent performances have been strong. Bologna's attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.4 goals scored in their last five matches, paired with a solid defensive record of just 1.0 goals conceded on average. Their expected goals scored (2.006) underline their offensive capabilities, while the expected goals conceded (1.77) suggest room for improvement defensively.

Final Prediction

Bologna's recent form and superior attacking metrics give them the edge over Lazio in this fixture. Their ability to score goals consistently and maintain a strong defensive line makes them favorites to take the three points. A key factor to watch in this game will be Bologna's attacking efficiency, as they aim to capitalize on Lazio's occasional defensive lapses.