Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Cremonese Prediction
Lazio
Home Team
84%
VS
Cremonese
Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.34
# Clean Sheets:
2
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.30
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Lazio is poised to secure a victory over Cremonese with a strong 84.0% probability, reflecting their current superior standing in the Serie A table at 8th position compared to Cremonese's 11th. The match is predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability supporting this outcome. Despite the low likelihood of an away victory for Cremonese at just 7.0%, fans can expect a competitive encounter.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Lazio has shown a mixed bag of results, with a win against Parma, a draw against Bologna, and a narrow loss to Milan. Their ability to find the net has been steady with an average of 1.8 goals scored over the last five matches, while their defense has been relatively robust, conceding just 0.8 goals on average. Lazio's expected goals (xG) figures suggest that they are creating quality chances even if the conversion rate doesn’t fully reflect their attacking potential.
On the other hand, Cremonese enters the game following a defeat against Torino but displayed resilience with back-to-back victories over Lecce and Bologna. Their recent scoring average stands at 1.2 goals per match, but defensive lapses have been evident with 1.4 goals conceded on average. Despite a slightly higher expected goals scored (1.294) than Lazio, their vulnerability at the back, indicated by an expected goals conceded of 2.304, could be a weak point for Lazio to exploit.
Final Prediction
Lazio's edge in this matchup lies in their solid defensive performance and ability to maintain clean sheets, which could prove crucial against Cremonese's unstable backline. A key factor to watch will be Lazio's defensive discipline, as another clean sheet could be the foundation for a much-needed victory. Expect an intense battle with Lazio leveraging their home advantage to capitalize on Cremonese's defensive frailties.