Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Juventus Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
30%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
49%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 7 5 1 1 11 4 7 16
2 Inter 7 5 0 2 18 8 10 15
3 Napoli 7 5 0 2 12 7 5 15
4 Roma 7 5 0 2 7 3 4 15
5 Bologna 7 4 1 2 11 5 6 13
6 Como 7 3 3 1 9 5 4 12
7 Juventus 7 3 3 1 9 7 2 12
8 Atalanta 7 2 5 0 11 5 6 11
9 Sassuolo 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
10 Cremonese 7 2 4 1 8 9 -1 10
11 Udinese 7 2 3 2 7 10 -3 9
12 Lazio 7 2 2 3 10 7 3 8
13 Cagliari 7 2 2 3 6 8 -2 8
14 Torino 7 2 2 3 6 13 -7 8
15 Parma 7 1 3 3 3 7 -4 6
16 Lecce 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
17 Verona 7 0 4 3 2 9 -7 4
18 Fiorentina 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3
19 Genoa 7 0 3 4 3 9 -6 3
20 Pisa 7 0 3 4 3 10 -7 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 2

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.31
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Juventus is predicted to favor the away team, Juventus, with a 49.0% probability of winning. The forecast suggests a low-scoring encounter with a likelihood of less than 2.5 goals being scored, given the 48.0% probability of such an outcome. In the current Serie A standings, Juventus sits at 7th place with 12 points, while Lazio is positioned at 12th with 8 points.

Match Analysis

Lazio enters the match with mixed results from their recent fixtures. They secured a victory against Genoa with a convincing 3-0 scoreline away from home, but followed it up with two draws—one against Torino at home in a high-scoring 3-3 match, and a goalless draw against Atalanta on the road. Lazio has shown a decent attacking form, averaging 2.33 goals per game over their last five matches, and maintaining two clean sheets, indicating a capable defensive performance as well. Juventus, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistent form. Their recent matches include a 0-2 loss away to Como, a goalless draw at home against league leaders Milan, and a 1-1 draw with Atalanta. Offensively, Juventus has been less potent, scoring just 0.67 goals per game in their last five outings. However, they have managed to keep their defense relatively steady, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game, which could be crucial in a tightly contested match like this.

Final Prediction

Juventus is favored to edge out Lazio primarily due to their solid defensive record and Lazio's vulnerability in recent matches. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to capitalize on their defensive prowess while seeking to convert chances into goals against a Lazio side that has shown both attacking flair and defensive frailties. The outcome may well hinge upon which team can assert control in the midfield and capitalize on the chances they create.