Serie A 2024-2025: Lecce vs Napoli Prediction

Lecce

Home Team
6%
VS

Napoli

Away Team
88%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Recent Trends

Lecce ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)

Napoli ✅ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.85
# Clean Sheets: 0

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.88
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

This upcoming clash between Lecce and Napoli is expected to heavily favor Napoli, with an 88.0% probability of an away team victory. Napoli currently sits at the top of the Serie A standings, showcasing their dominant form throughout the season. The game's goal expectation is predicted to be under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 48.0%. Lecce, positioned 17th, is at risk of relegation, making this match crucial for them.

Match Analysis

Lecce's recent form has been a struggle, managing only a draw against Atalanta and suffering losses to both Como and Juventus. Their inability to find the back of the net consistently is evident, with an average of 0.6 goals scored in the last five matches. Additionally, their defensive frailties have been highlighted, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the same period. Notably, Lecce has failed to secure a clean sheet in their last five games, adding pressure to their defensive line. In contrast, Napoli's recent performances have been impressive, securing victories against Torino, Monza, and Empoli without conceding a goal. Napoli's defensive solidity is underscored by their three clean sheets in the last five matches. While their goal-scoring average stands at 1.0, their expected goals scored indicates a potential for more, at 1.12. These metrics suggest that Napoli is well-balanced in both attack and defense, which could prove pivotal against a struggling Lecce side.

Final Prediction

Napoli's edge in this match comes from their superior form and league standing. Their consistent performances and defensive prowess make them the favorites against a Lecce team facing relegation threats. A key factor to watch will be Napoli's ability to capitalize on Lecce's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially securing another clean sheet and solidifying their top position in the league.