Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Roma Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
15%
VS
Roma
Away Team
71%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 15 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Milan | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Juventus | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Roma | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 33 |
| 6 | Como | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 30 |
| 7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Lazio | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 24 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Torino | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Parma | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Verona | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 12 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | Pisa | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
Roma
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.26
# Clean Sheets:
1
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.45
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lecce and Roma is heavily tipped in favor of the visitors, with a 71% probability of Roma securing a victory. In contrast, Lecce's chances of winning stand at a modest 15%, while a draw has a 14% likelihood. As both teams prepare to face off, Roma sits in 5th position in Serie A, pushing for a Champions League spot, whereas Lecce, positioned 16th, is battling to rise above the relegation zone. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest.
Match Analysis
In their last three outings, Lecce has experienced a mixed bag of results. They managed a commendable draw against Juventus away from home, a victory over Pisa at home, and suffered a heavy home defeat to Como. These performances reflect their struggle to consistently find the back of the net, as they have averaged just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, Lecce has shown some resilience, allowing an average of 1.0 goals per game during the same period.
Conversely, Roma comes into this encounter with a somewhat inconsistent form. After a solid win against Genoa at home, they have faced defeats against both Atalanta and Juventus. Despite scoring just 0.8 goals on average in their last five games, Roma's offensive potential is slightly better reflected in their expected goals metric, averaging 1.284. However, their defense appears vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, and a concerning expected goals conceded of 2.452, indicating potential defensive lapses.
Final Prediction
Roma's edge in this matchup lies in their superior league standing and stronger predicted form. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial, especially given Lecce's recent defensive performance. A key factor to watch will be Roma's defensive organization; tightening their backline could be pivotal in securing the anticipated win.