Serie A 2024-2025: Lecce vs Torino Prediction

Lecce

Home Team
32%
VS

Torino

Away Team
44%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Lecce ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)

Torino ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.72
# Clean Sheets: 0

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.90
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lecce and Torino sees the away team, Torino, as the favorite with a 44.0% chance of winning, compared to Lecce's 32.0% probability of securing a victory. The game is predicted to be a low-scoring affair, with a 47.0% probability suggesting it will feature under 2.5 goals. Currently, Torino sits in 11th place in the Serie A standings, while Lecce is down in 18th, battling relegation.

Match Analysis

Examining recent performances, Lecce has shown resilience with two draws and a narrow loss in their last three games. They managed to secure a point against both Verona and Atalanta, though their struggle to score remains evident, with just two goals in their recent matches. On the defensive front, Lecce has been leaky, allowing an average of 1.8 goals per game over their last five fixtures, which is mirrored by the advanced metrics indicating a high expected goals conceded rate of 1.718. Torino, on the other hand, has faced tough competition, losing to Inter and Napoli, while drawing against Venezia. Offensively, Torino has slightly better metrics, averaging a goal per game over their last five outings. Their defense has been relatively more solid compared to Lecce, conceding 1.2 goals per game, and they have managed to keep one clean sheet in their recent fixtures. These stats suggest Torino has a balanced approach that could exploit Lecce's defensive vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Torino's edge in this encounter stems from their steadier defensive performance and moderately better goal-scoring ability. While both teams have struggled in recent matches, Torino's position in the mid-table, along with their slightly superior form, gives them an advantage. A key factor to watch will be how Lecce's defense handles Torino's attacking efforts, as it might determine if they can secure a crucial point or even a surprising victory.