Serie A 2024-2025: Monza vs Como Prediction - 5 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Monza

Home Team
20%
VS

Como

Away Team
63%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 24 23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 42 9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 35 10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 29 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15

Recent Trends

Monza L D L L L

  • Last Match: L vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 4)

Como D L D L W

  • Last Match: D vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.12
# Clean Sheets: 0

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

For the upcoming clash between Monza and Como, the prediction leans heavily towards an away victory for Como, with a 63.0% probability, while Monza's chances of winning at home stand at 20.0%. The likelihood of a draw is 17.0%. Additionally, the match is expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals scored, with a probability of 56.0%. Currently, Monza is at the bottom of the Serie A standings in 20th place, whereas Como sits in 13th, fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Recent performances indicate a challenging period for both teams. Monza, struggling at the bottom, has failed to secure a win in their last three matches. They suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat away to Cagliari, managed a 1-1 draw at home against Parma, and narrowly lost 2-3 to league leaders Inter. Monza's offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game over their last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.0 goals. Their expected goals during this period reflect a similar pattern, showing limited attacking output. Como, on the other hand, has shown slightly more resilience. They earned draws against Empoli and Venezia, both ending 1-1, but suffered a narrow 1-2 loss to Milan. Como's attack has been more productive than Monza's, averaging 1.0 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Despite these defensive issues, Como's ability to create more expected goals, at an average of 1.216, suggests they could trouble Monza's defense.

Final Prediction

The prediction favors Como due to their relatively better form and position in the standings. Their ability to create scoring opportunities, coupled with Monza's defensive vulnerabilities, provides them a key advantage. Fans should keep an eye on Como's attacking play, as it might be the decisive factor in securing the away win.

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel