Serie A 2024-2025: Monza vs Empoli Prediction

Monza

Home Team
31%
VS

Empoli

Away Team
45%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Monza ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 1)

Empoli ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.81
# Clean Sheets: 0

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Monza and Empoli is expected to result in an away victory for Empoli, with a 45.0% probability. Meanwhile, the chance of a home win for Monza stands at 31.0%, and a draw is the least likely outcome at 24.0%. The game is predicted to see fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% probability. In terms of standings, Monza is currently struggling at the bottom of the Serie A table, holding the 20th position, while Empoli is just above them in the 19th spot, both fighting to escape relegation.

Match Analysis

Monza's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable away victory against Udinese, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1. However, their form has been inconsistent as they suffered heavy defeats to Atalanta and Juventus, both without scoring. Monza's defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches, with no clean sheets to bolster their confidence. Empoli, on the other hand, secured a crucial win against Parma in their last outing, edging their opponents 2-1 at home. However, they struggled against higher-ranked teams, losing narrowly to Lazio and Fiorentina. Their attack has been slightly more potent than Monza's, averaging 0.6 goals scored per game over the last five. Empoli also boasts slightly better expected goals statistics, suggesting they are creating more opportunities than their hosts.

Final Prediction

Empoli is tipped to have the upper hand due to their marginally better attacking efficiency and more resilient defense compared to Monza. A key factor to watch will be Empoli's ability to capitalize on Monza's defensive vulnerabilities, which could be pivotal in securing a much-needed victory in their fight against relegation. Both teams will be desperate for points, but Empoli's edge in creating and converting chances might just tilt the balance in their favor.