Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Genoa Prediction
Parma
Home Team
41%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
36%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
49%
No Goal:
51%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Milan | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 43 |
| 3 | Napoli | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 40 |
| 4 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
| 5 | Roma | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Como | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 31 |
| 8 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Lazio | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
| 10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | Genoa | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 17 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Pisa | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.01
# Clean Sheets:
2
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.63
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Parma and Genoa is predicted to be a closely contested affair, with a 41% probability favoring a home win for Parma. The likelihood of Genoa securing a win stands at 36%, while a draw holds a 24% chance. Both teams are currently navigating the lower half of the league table, with Parma sitting at 14th place and Genoa just behind them in 15th. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with a 44% chance of under 2.5 goals, and with a 49% probability, the prediction leans towards no goals scored by either team.
Match Analysis
In recent weeks, Parma has shown a mixed bag of performances. They managed a commendable 0-0 draw against Napoli away from home, secured a 2-1 victory over Lecce, but fell short against Inter with a 0-2 loss on their own turf. Their ability to keep two clean sheets in the last five matches highlights a solid defense, though their offensive output remains lackluster with an average of 0.6 goals scored per game in the same period.
On the other hand, Genoa's recent form shows a slight improvement, particularly in attack. They triumphed with a convincing 3-0 win over Cagliari and held Milan to a 1-1 draw on the road. Their attacking prowess is evident as they've averaged 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defense could be a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals over the same span. Key metrics such as expected goals also suggest that both teams are working towards finding a balance between attack and defense.
Final Prediction
Parma's slight edge in predicted outcome may stem from their defensive resilience, as evidenced by recent clean sheets. The game could be decided by Parma's ability to contain Genoa's more vibrant attack while capitalizing on their chances. A key factor to watch will be Parma's defensive organization and whether they can neutralize Genoa's offensive threats effectively.