Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Lecce Prediction
Parma
Home Team
71%
VS
Lecce
Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Inter | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Verona | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.93
# Clean Sheets:
1
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.59
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Parma and Lecce is expected to favor the home team, with a 71.0% probability of Parma securing a victory. The anticipated result suggests a low-scoring affair, with a 43.0% chance of the match having fewer than 2.5 goals. Currently, Parma sits in 14th place in Serie A, while Lecce is at the bottom in 20th, fighting to climb out of the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, Parma has shown flashes of resilience. They managed a crucial win against Torino at home, scoring twice while conceding just once. This was followed by a goalless draw away at Cremonese and a defeat at Cagliari where they failed to score. Parma's average goals scored over the last five matches stands at 1.5, while they have conceded an average of 1.0. Their defensive solidity has been highlighted by one clean sheet during this period.
Lecce, on the other hand, is struggling, having not tasted victory in their last three matches. They held Bologna to a 2-2 draw at home but suffered defeats against Cagliari and Atalanta, conceding heavily. Lecce's scoring has been meager, averaging just 0.5 goals per match, while defensively, they have been porous, letting in an average of 2.0 goals per game. Despite a solitary clean sheet in recent outings, their defensive frailties are apparent, as reflected in their expected goals conceded metric of 1.595.
Final Prediction
Parma appears to have a clear advantage, primarily due to their stronger defensive record and slightly better form in recent games. Their ability to maintain a tighter defense compared to Lecce's vulnerability could be the deciding factor. Fans should keep an eye on Parma's defensive organization, as it might be pivotal in securing the win and potentially climbing the league standings.