Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Milan Prediction
Parma
Home Team
6%
VS
Milan
Away Team
88%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
2
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.66
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Parma and Milan heavily favors the visitors, with an overwhelming 88% probability of Milan securing a victory. In contrast, Parma's chances of an upset are slim at just 6%. The match is predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, which aligns with Milan's strong defensive record. Currently, Milan sits in 3rd place in Serie A, while Parma is struggling near the bottom in 16th position.
Match Analysis
Parma's recent performances have been less than stellar, having suffered losses against Bologna and Roma, and managing only a goalless draw against Como. Their offensive struggles are evident, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they aren't faring much better, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest they are creating slightly more opportunities than their actual goal tally indicates, but their defense remains porous.
Milan, on the other hand, has been in solid form, with a crucial victory over Roma and draws against Atalanta and Pisa. They have been robust defensively, conceding only 0.25 goals per game on average over their last five matches. This defensive solidity, reflected in their two clean sheets, is supported by their xG metrics, which suggest they are both creating and denying opportunities efficiently. Milan's ability to maintain a tight defense while scoring crucial goals positions them well for this encounter.
Final Prediction
Milan's strong defensive record and consistent form make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their ability to control games defensively and capitalize on scoring opportunities gives them a significant edge over Parma. A key factor to watch will be Milan's defensive organization, which has been pivotal in their recent success and will likely pose significant challenges for Parma's attack.