Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Napoli Prediction

Parma

Home Team
3%
VS

Napoli

Away Team
93%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Parma ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)

Napoli ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.14
# Clean Sheets: 2

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.76
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Napoli is heavily tilted in favor of the visiting side. With a staggering 93.0% probability, Napoli is predicted to secure a win against Parma, who hold a mere 3.0% chance of victory. The match is expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals, despite the moderate 52.0% probability of both teams finding the net. Napoli currently sit atop the league standings, boasting an impressive 78 points, while Parma languish in 16th place with 32 points.

Match Analysis

Parma have struggled in their recent matches, managing only a draw against Lazio while suffering defeats to both Empoli and Como. Their offensive output has been modest, with an average of 1.4 goals scored in their last five games, though their defensive line has been more solid, conceding an average of just 1.0 goals per match. Advanced metrics reveal that Parma's expected goals (xG) are slightly higher than their actual scoring, indicating potential but unrealized opportunities. Napoli, on the other hand, have demonstrated formidable form. They secured wins against Lecce and Torino, and held Genoa to a draw. Despite scoring an average of 0.8 goals in their last five games, they have been defensively robust, conceding just 0.6 goals on average. Notably, Napoli have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches, underscoring their defensive prowess. Their expected goals (xG) also slightly exceed their actual goals scored, pointing to an efficient attacking setup.

Final Prediction

Napoli's strong defensive record and their position as league leaders give them a substantial edge over Parma in this fixture. The key factor to watch will be Napoli's ability to capitalize on their defensive solidity while converting scoring opportunities. Parma will need to overcome significant odds to disrupt Napoli's rhythm and secure a positive result.