Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Udinese Prediction
Parma
Home Team
49%
VS
Udinese
Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Bologna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Como | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Juventus | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Lazio | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Pisa | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Genoa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.45
# Clean Sheets:
1
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.98
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Parma is predicted to edge past Udinese with a 49.0% probability of victory at home. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with only a 41.0% chance of exceeding that mark. Currently, Parma stands at 15th, whereas Udinese is slightly better placed at 10th in the Serie A standings.
Match Analysis
In their last three matches, Parma has shown mixed form. They secured a win against Verona away, drew with a formidable Milan at home, and suffered a loss to Bologna on home turf. This indicates a slight upward trend, especially considering their ability to score twice against a top-tier team like Milan. On the other hand, Udinese has had a challenging run, losing to Bologna and Roma, both without scoring, but managed a narrow victory over Atalanta. Their recent performances indicate vulnerability in both defense and attack, having conceded five goals in their last two defeats.
Examining advanced metrics, Parma has averaged 1.0 goals per game over the last five matches, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.234, suggesting they might be slightly underperforming in front of goal. Defensively, they concede 1.4 goals on average, with an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.448, indicating a consistent defensive performance. Udinese, however, scores just 0.8 goals on average, with an xG of 1.082, pointing to inefficiencies in converting chances. Their defense is more concerning, conceding 1.8 goals per game with an xGA of 1.978, reflecting defensive frailties.
Final Prediction
Parma appears to have the edge due to their slightly better recent form and home advantage. Their ability to challenge stronger teams like Milan provides them with confidence going into this match. A key factor to watch will be Parma's ability to capitalize on Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities, which could be decisive in securing the predicted victory.