Serie A 2024-2025: Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

Roma

Home Team
92%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Roma ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)

Cagliari ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.76
# Clean Sheets: 4

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari strongly favors the home side, with a staggering 92.0% probability of a Roma victory. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 43.0% chance of the total goals being under 2.5. Roma currently sit in 7th place, with 46 points, while Cagliari find themselves in 14th, struggling with 26 points.

Match Analysis

Roma enter this fixture in excellent form, having won their last three games. They defeated Empoli 1-0 away, secured a 2-1 home victory against Como, and thrashed Monza 4-0 at home. Their recent success has been built on strong defensive performances, as evidenced by their four clean sheets in the last five matches. Roma's ability to score goals, averaging 2.4 per game in the same period, suggests they possess the firepower to overcome Cagliari's defense. Conversely, Cagliari have struggled in recent outings, managing only one point from their last three games. A 1-1 draw at home against Genoa was followed by consecutive defeats to Bologna and Juventus. With an average of just 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five fixtures and only one clean sheet, Cagliari's offensive and defensive struggles are apparent. Their expected goals metrics further highlight these issues, with only 0.432 expected goals scored per game.

Final Prediction

Roma's dominant recent performances, highlighted by their solid defense and consistent goal-scoring, gives them a clear edge over Cagliari. The key factor to watch will be Roma's ability to maintain their defensive resilience against a Cagliari side that has been challenged in front of goal. Fans can expect Roma to control the game, leveraging their home advantage and form to secure a vital three points.