Serie A 2025-2026: Roma vs Como Prediction

Roma

Home Team
60%
VS

Como

Away Team
19%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 14 9 4 1 22 11 11 31
2 Napoli 14 10 1 3 22 12 10 31
3 Inter 14 10 0 4 32 13 19 30
4 Roma 14 9 0 5 15 8 7 27
5 Bologna 14 7 4 3 23 12 11 25
6 Como 14 6 6 2 19 11 8 24
7 Juventus 14 6 5 3 18 14 4 23
8 Sassuolo 14 6 2 6 19 17 2 20
9 Cremonese 14 5 5 4 18 17 1 20
10 Lazio 14 5 4 5 16 11 5 19
11 Udinese 14 5 3 6 15 22 -7 18
12 Atalanta 14 3 7 4 17 17 0 16
13 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 14 19 -5 14
14 Genoa 14 3 5 6 15 21 -6 14
15 Parma 14 3 5 6 10 17 -7 14
16 Torino 14 3 5 6 14 26 -12 14
17 Lecce 14 3 4 7 10 19 -9 13
18 Pisa 14 1 7 6 10 19 -9 10
19 Verona 14 1 6 7 11 21 -10 9
20 Fiorentina 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.40
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 1

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Roma and Como sees Roma as the likely victor with a 60.0% probability of winning at home. The game is also predicted to have less than 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight affair. Roma sits in 4th place in the standings, aiming to solidify their position for Champions League qualification, while Como, in 6th place, will be looking to climb higher in the league.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Roma has experienced a mixed bag of results. They overcame Cremonese with a convincing 3-1 win on the road but suffered narrow defeats against Cagliari and Napoli, both ending 0-1. This inconsistency highlights Roma’s challenge in maintaining form, yet their defensive solidity is notable, conceding only 0.6 goals on average in the last 5 games. Meanwhile, Como enters with a more positive trajectory, having secured two wins in their last three outings, including an emphatic 5-1 away victory against Torino. However, their 0-4 loss to Inter suggests vulnerabilities against top-tier teams. Advanced metrics indicate that Roma scores an average of 1.2 goals per game, closely matching Como’s offensive output. However, Roma's defense appears slightly more robust, with fewer goals conceded and a lower expected goals against metric. Como has managed three clean sheets in their last five matches, which demonstrates a capacity to defend resolutely, an aspect Roma must be wary of.

Final Prediction

Roma’s home advantage and slightly better defensive record give them the edge in this matchup against Como. The game's outcome may hinge on how well Como can disrupt Roma's defensive setup and capitalize on any scoring opportunities. Keep an eye on the defensive performances, as they could be the deciding factor in a game predicted to feature fewer than 2.5 goals.