Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction
Sassuolo
Home Team
54%
VS
Fiorentina
Away Team
22%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
Fiorentina
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.51
# Clean Sheets:
1
Fiorentina
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.87
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina sees Sassuolo as the predicted winner with a 54.0% probability of securing victory at home. The likelihood of Fiorentina clinching an away win stands at 22.0%, with a 23.0% chance of the match ending in a draw. The game is expected to feature less than 2.5 goals, given a 48.0% probability. In terms of standing, Sassuolo occupies the 10th position in Serie A, while Fiorentina struggles at 19th.
Match Analysis
In recent encounters, Sassuolo demonstrated a mixed bag of results. They secured a commanding 3-0 victory against Atalanta, followed by a 2-2 draw with Pisa at home, and a 2-0 loss away to Como. These performances illustrate their ability to score, yet also show vulnerability in defense. Advanced metrics indicate Sassuolo averages 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.2, with their expected goals slightly higher, suggesting potential for more efficient finishing.
On the other hand, Fiorentina's recent form has been less encouraging, with no wins in their last three matches. They suffered a 2-0 defeat to Atalanta, managed a 1-1 draw against Juventus, and settled for a 2-2 draw with Genoa. Fiorentina's struggles are further highlighted by their low average of 0.6 goals per game and a concerning 1.8 goals conceded. The team also lacks clean sheets, emphasizing their defensive frailties.
Final Prediction
Sassuolo's edge in this matchup primarily stems from their stronger recent performances and better goal-scoring record. Fiorentina's defensive weaknesses and inability to find the net consistently could tilt the balance in Sassuolo's favor. A key factor to watch will be Sassuolo's ability to capitalize on Fiorentina's defensive lapses, potentially deciding the outcome of this contest.