Serie A 2025-2026: Torino vs Cremonese Prediction

Torino

Home Team
64%
VS

Cremonese

Away Team
17%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 14 9 4 1 22 11 11 31
2 Napoli 14 10 1 3 22 12 10 31
3 Inter 14 10 0 4 32 13 19 30
4 Roma 14 9 0 5 15 8 7 27
5 Bologna 14 7 4 3 23 12 11 25
6 Como 14 6 6 2 19 11 8 24
7 Juventus 14 6 5 3 18 14 4 23
8 Sassuolo 14 6 2 6 19 17 2 20
9 Cremonese 14 5 5 4 18 17 1 20
10 Lazio 14 5 4 5 16 11 5 19
11 Udinese 14 5 3 6 15 22 -7 18
12 Atalanta 14 3 7 4 17 17 0 16
13 Cagliari 14 3 5 6 14 19 -5 14
14 Genoa 14 3 5 6 15 21 -6 14
15 Parma 14 3 5 6 10 17 -7 14
16 Torino 14 3 5 6 14 26 -12 14
17 Lecce 14 3 4 7 10 19 -9 13
18 Pisa 14 1 7 6 10 19 -9 10
19 Verona 14 1 6 7 11 21 -10 9
20 Fiorentina 14 0 6 8 11 24 -13 6

Recent Trends

Torino ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)

Cremonese ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.22
# Clean Sheets: 1

Cremonese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.20
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Torino is anticipated to secure a victory over Cremonese with a strong probability of 64.0%. Given the predicted result under 2.5 goals, fans can expect a closely contested match with a slight edge towards defensive solidity. In the current Serie A standings, Torino sits at 16th place, while Cremonese holds the 9th position, indicating a challenging match for the home team.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Torino has struggled, facing three consecutive losses against Milan, Lecce, and Como, with a concerning defensive record of conceding ten goals. Despite scoring four times across these matches, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed. In contrast, Cremonese has shown resilience, clinching two wins against Lecce and Bologna, though they fell short against Roma. With an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game, Cremonese has demonstrated a balanced game, capable of both scoring and defending effectively. Advanced metrics reveal that Torino's recent form includes an average of 1.6 goals scored per match but a higher 2.2 goals conceded, indicating defensive frailties. Cremonese, while averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceded, showcases a more stable approach on the field. Both teams have managed only one clean sheet in their last five games, pointing towards potential defensive lapses that could influence the game's outcome.

Final Prediction

Torino, despite its lower standing, has a higher probability of securing a win due to the home advantage and the prediction model's favor. The key factor to watch during the game will be Torino's ability to tighten their defense against a determined Cremonese side, whose balanced gameplay could pose significant challenges. Fans should look out for a tactical battle where defensive errors may determine the match's outcome.