Serie A 2025-2026: Udinese vs Atalanta Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
16%
VS

Atalanta

Away Team
70%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 7 0 2 16 8 8 21
2 Roma 9 7 0 2 10 4 6 21
3 Inter 9 6 0 3 22 11 11 18
4 Milan 9 5 3 1 14 7 7 18
5 Como 9 4 4 1 12 6 6 16
6 Bologna 9 4 3 2 13 7 6 15
7 Juventus 9 4 3 2 12 9 3 15
8 Cremonese 9 3 5 1 11 10 1 14
9 Atalanta 9 2 7 0 13 7 6 13
10 Udinese 9 3 3 3 11 15 -4 12
11 Torino 9 3 3 3 8 14 -6 12
12 Lazio 8 3 2 3 11 7 4 11
13 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 8 9 -1 10
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Parma 9 1 4 4 4 9 -5 7
16 Lecce 9 1 3 5 7 14 -7 6
17 Verona 9 0 5 4 5 14 -9 5
18 Pisa 8 0 4 4 5 12 -7 4
19 Fiorentina 9 0 4 5 7 15 -8 4
20 Genoa 9 0 3 6 4 13 -9 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.92
# Clean Sheets: 0

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Udinese and Atalanta heavily favors the visitors, Atalanta, with an impressive 70.0% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Udinese holds a modest 16.0% chance of securing a home victory. The likelihood of the game ending in a draw is 14.0%. In terms of goals, the match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals. Currently, Atalanta sits in 9th position in Serie A, while Udinese is close behind in 10th.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Udinese has shown mixed results. They suffered a loss against Juventus, managed a home victory over Lecce, and settled for a draw with Cremonese. Their recent form has seen them scoring an average of 1.25 goals while conceding 1.75 goals per game. Despite showing potential in attack with an expected goals tally of 1.465 over the last five games, their defense remains a concern, conceding more than they score. Atalanta, on the other hand, comes into this match with a series of draws against tough opponents like Milan, Cremonese, and Lazio. They have proven to be a strong defensive unit, conceding just 0.75 goals per game over their last five matches while scoring an average of 1.5 goals. Their defensive resilience is further bolstered by their capability to maintain clean sheets, which could be pivotal in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's solid defensive record and consistency in scoring provide them with a significant edge over Udinese. The key factor in this encounter will be Atalanta's ability to maintain their defensive form while capitalizing on Udinese's vulnerabilities at the back. Fans should keep an eye on Atalanta's defensive organization, which could be the deciding factor in securing a positive result.