Serie A 2025-2026: Udinese vs Inter Prediction

Udinese

Home Team
2%
VS

Inter

Away Team
94%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 20 15 1 4 43 17 26 46
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 17 43
3 Napoli 20 12 4 4 30 17 13 40
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 12 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Bologna 20 8 6 6 29 22 7 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 20 5 7 8 14 22 -8 22
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13

Recent Trends

Udinese ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 5)

Inter ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.53
# Clean Sheets: 0

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is heavily favored to win this matchup, with a commanding 94.0% probability of victory against Udinese's meager 2.0%. The likelihood of a draw stands at just 3.0%. With Inter sitting comfortably at the top of Serie A's standings, and Udinese positioned at 10th place, the predicted outcome of an Inter win aligns with current form. The game is also expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% probability of this occurring.

Match Analysis

In their last three encounters, Udinese has had a mixed bag of results: a draw at home against Pisa, a win away at Torino, and a narrow loss to Como. Udinese's recent performances show inconsistency, and their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game in their last five matches. Notably, Udinese has not kept a clean sheet in these games, which could be a critical factor against an attacking side like Inter. Inter's recent form is impressive, with two wins and a draw in their last three games. They've managed victories against Lecce and Parma without conceding a goal, showcasing their defensive solidity. Inter has an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five matches, while only conceding 0.4 on average. Their ability to both score and defend effectively is further supported by three clean sheets in these matches. Inter's expected goals statistics also suggest a strong offensive presence, which could prove challenging for Udinese's defense.

Final Prediction

Inter holds a significant advantage due to their current form and statistical edge in both offense and defense. Their solid backline and ability to consistently find the net make them the clear favorites. A key factor to watch during the game will be Inter's attacking prowess, as their ability to convert chances could determine the match's outcome.