Serie A 2024-2025: Verona vs Cagliari Prediction

Verona

Home Team
38%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
35%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 40%
Under 2.5: 60%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Verona ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)

Cagliari ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 3

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Verona and Cagliari is shaping up to be a closely contested battle. With Verona having a 38% probability of winning and Cagliari not far behind at 35%, it suggests an evenly matched contest. The predicted result leans towards a victory for the home team, Verona. Additionally, the game is expected to be low-scoring, with a 40% probability of having fewer than 2.5 goals. In the Serie A standings, Verona sits at 14th place with 32 points, while Cagliari is in 16th place with 30 points.

Match Analysis

Verona's recent form has been a mix of draws and losses. They have drawn their last two games against Genoa and Torino, both ending in stalemates, and suffered a narrow defeat against Roma. Their defense has been relatively strong, securing three clean sheets in their last five matches. However, their attack has struggled, averaging only 0.4 goals per game in the last five outings. Despite this, their expected goals (xG) suggest they have the potential to score more, averaging 1.058 xG per game. Cagliari, on the other hand, has faced a challenging run, with losses to Fiorentina and Inter and a goalless draw against Empoli. Their defensive stability is slightly better, with two clean sheets in their last five matches, but they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game. Offensively, they too have struggled, matching Verona's scoring average of 0.4 goals per game. Their expected goals metric is lower than Verona's, at 0.594 xG, indicating a need to improve their attacking output.

Final Prediction

Verona's slight edge in this matchup comes from their stronger defensive record and higher expected goals compared to Cagliari. Their ability to keep clean sheets could prove crucial in a match likely to be low-scoring. Fans should keep an eye on Verona's defense, as their ability to shut down Cagliari's attacks could be a key factor in securing a victory.