Serie A 2025-2026: Verona vs Cagliari Prediction
Verona
Home Team
72%
VS
Cagliari
Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Verona
- Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
Cagliari
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.72
# Clean Sheets:
2
Cagliari
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.95
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Verona and Cagliari is poised with a strong prediction favoring the home side, Verona, with a 72.0% probability of victory. Despite their current struggles, Verona is predicted to edge out Cagliari, who only have a 13.0% chance of winning. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair with less than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 45.0% probability for under 2.5 goals. Currently, Verona sits in 17th place, perilously close to the relegation zone, while Cagliari is slightly better off in 13th position.
Match Analysis
Verona's recent form has been concerning, with no victories from their last three outings. Their most recent scoreless draw against Pisa away from home was preceded by losses to Sassuolo and Roma, failing to score in all three matches. Despite their struggles, they have managed two clean sheets in their last five games, which indicates some defensive stability. Verona's expected goals metrics suggest they are creating chances but failing to convert, with an average of 1.453 expected goals scored in recent matches.
Cagliari, on the other hand, have also endured a tough spell, with just one point from their last three games, which included a disappointing home loss to Bologna and a draw against Udinese. Their offensive output averages a goal per game, but defensive frailties remain a concern, with an average of 1.953 expected goals conceded. The recent performances highlight that while Cagliari can find the net, maintaining defensive solidity has been a challenge.
Final Prediction
Despite both teams struggling for form, Verona's home advantage and marginally better defensive record give them the upper hand in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be whether Verona can capitalize on their expected goals by converting their chances into actual goals to secure a much-needed win. Football fans should keep an eye on the defensive setups, as a single goal could likely decide this closely contested encounter.