Serie A 2025-2026: Verona vs Lazio Prediction
Verona
Home Team
23%
VS
Lazio
Away Team
57%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Milan | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Juventus | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Roma | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Lazio | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
| 10 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Verona | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 13 |
| 20 | Pisa | 19 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Verona
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.40
# Clean Sheets:
0
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.18
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Verona and Lazio is predicted to favor the away team, Lazio, with a 57.0% probability of winning, compared to Verona's 23.0% chance. The game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, given the 46.0% probability of such an outcome. In the league standings, Lazio is positioned at 9th, while Verona sits precariously at 18th, highlighting the contrasting fortunes of the two clubs.
Match Analysis
Verona's recent performances have been challenging, with just one draw and two losses in their last three games. A draw against Napoli showcased some resilience, but heavy defeats to Torino and Milan reveal defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded six goals in those losses. The advanced metrics indicate that Verona scores an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five outings, yet they concede at an alarming rate of 2.0 goals per game, which underscores their defensive frailties.
Lazio, on the other hand, has been struggling to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.4 goals over their last five matches. Despite this, they have managed to maintain a tighter defense, conceding just 0.8 goals on average. Their recent form includes draws against Fiorentina and Udinese, and a loss to Napoli, indicating a period of stagnation. However, Lazio's two clean sheets in their last five games suggest a more robust defensive approach compared to their upcoming opponents.
Final Prediction
Lazio's edge in this matchup largely stems from their superior defensive capabilities, which could prove decisive against a Verona side struggling to keep opponents at bay. Key to watch during the game will be how effectively Lazio can convert their defensive solidity into attacking opportunities, potentially exploiting Verona's defensive weaknesses. Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring affair seems likely, with Lazio having the upper hand.