Charlotte Hornets
Eastern Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record · includes the Charlotte Bobcats years
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the Charlotte Hornets?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 75 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the Charlotte Hornets were 6.7% harder to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 75 | 65.3% | 67.4% | 75.0% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 72.4% | 67.3% | 80.0% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the Charlotte Hornets won 5 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 3 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | #7 | 1511 | 1609 | 1602 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | #30 | 1511 | 1511 | 1280 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | #26 | 1510 | 1510 | 1337 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | #26 | 1513 | 1514 | 1400 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | #13 | 1509 | 1549 | 1533 |
| 2020-21 | 72 | #23 | 1490 | 1534 | 1442 |
| 2019-20 | 65 | #22 | 1509 | 1509 | 1403 |
| 2018-19 | 82 | #15 | 1489 | 1515 | 1495 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | #21 | 1490 | 1523 | 1460 |
| 2016-17 | 82 | #20 | 1512 | 1548 | 1440 |
| 2015-16 | 89 | #10 | 1490 | 1588 | 1564 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | #24 | 1509 | 1509 | 1402 |
| 2013-14 as Charlotte Bobcats | 86 | #16 | 1490 | 1562 | 1523 |
| 2012-13 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #29 | 1510 | 1516 | 1338 |
| 2011-12 as Charlotte Bobcats | 66 | #30 | 1509 | 1509 | 1208 |
| 2010-11 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #23 | 1490 | 1490 | 1430 |
| 2009-10 as Charlotte Bobcats | 86 | #15 | 1488 | 1553 | 1514 |
| 2008-09 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #18 | 1489 | 1503 | 1451 |
| 2007-08 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #22 | 1509 | 1519 | 1437 |
| 2006-07 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #19 | 1489 | 1489 | 1452 |
| 2005-06 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #25 | 1491 | 1512 | 1409 |
| 2004-05 as Charlotte Bobcats | 82 | #29 | 1489 | 1501 | 1308 |
| 2001-02 | 91 | #10 | 1509 | 1567 | 1540 |
| 2000-01 | 92 | #9 | 1513 | 1598 | 1568 |
| 1999-00 | 86 | #11 | 1510 | 1591 | 1572 |
| 1998-99 | 50 | #9 | 1488 | 1552 | 1550 |
| 1997-98 | 91 | #8 | 1488 | 1623 | 1584 |
| 1996-97 | 85 | #9 | 1510 | 1652 | 1593 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | SF | 63 | 8.8 |
| Moussa Diabaté | C | 47 | 7.3 |
| Miles Bridges | SF | 70 | 5.2 |
| Kon Knueppel | SF | 74 | 1.9 |
| LaMelo Ball | PG | 63 | 0.1 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | C | 24 | -5.6 |
Every Charlotte Hornets player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | at New York Knicks | W Charlotte Hornets 54.2% | W 110-96 ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Detroit Pistons | L Charlotte Hornets 49.3% | L 100-118 ✓ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | at Boston Celtics | L Charlotte Hornets 33.0% | L 102-113 ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | at Minnesota Timberwolves | L Charlotte Hornets 36.5% | W 122-108 ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Indiana Pacers | W Charlotte Hornets 87.9% | W 129-108 ✓ |
| Apr 02, 2026 | vs Phoenix Suns | W Charlotte Hornets 54.7% | W 127-107 ✓ |
| Mar 31, 2026 | at Brooklyn Nets | W Charlotte Hornets 84.7% | W 117-86 ✓ |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | W Charlotte Hornets 52.9% | L 99-114 ✗ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Philadelphia 76ers | W Charlotte Hornets 60.6% | L 114-118 ✗ |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs New York Knicks | W Charlotte Hornets 65.7% | W 114-103 ✓ |
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