NBA 2025-2026: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Memphis Grizzlies
Home Team
51.8%
113.7 pts
VS
Dallas Mavericks
Away Team
48.2%
113.3 pts
Key Prediction Insights
The Memphis Grizzlies are predicted to narrowly edge out the Dallas Mavericks with a 51.8% probability of winning. The expected score is 113.7 for the Grizzlies to 113.3 for the Mavericks, suggesting a closely contested match. The Grizzlies' starting lineup is anticipated to feature Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Jock Landale. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are expected to start D'Angelo Russell, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, P.J. Washington, and Daniel Gafford.
Game Analysis
Both teams enter this matchup on a downward trend, with the Grizzlies dropping their last three games against the Rockets, Pistons, and Raptors, failing to surpass 109 points in each contest. On the other hand, the Mavericks also come off a trio of losses against the Pelicans, Rockets, and Pistons, with their highest scoring output being 110 points. This sets the stage for a potential turnaround for either team.
Analyzing the starting lineups, the Grizzlies have Ja Morant as a key offensive contributor, averaging 20 points per game, supported by Jaren Jackson Jr.'s efficient offensive rating of 116.9. However, their defensive ratings suggest potential vulnerabilities. The Mavericks, with Daniel Gafford boasting an impressive offensive rating of 161.0, seem to have more balanced defensive metrics, particularly Cooper Flagg and P.J. Washington with defensive ratings under 110. This balance might be crucial in offsetting the Grizzlies' offensive prowess.
Final Prediction
The Grizzlies have a slight statistical edge, likely due to their slightly higher predicted points, but both teams have a chance to capitalize on the other's recent struggles. A key factor to watch will be the Grizzlies' ability to leverage Jaren Jackson Jr.'s offensive efficiency against the Mavericks' defensive setup. As both teams seek to break their losing streaks, this game promises to be an exciting contest for fans.