Detroit Pistons
Eastern Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the Detroit Pistons?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 90 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the Detroit Pistons were 8.8% easier to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 90 | 68.9% | 67.4% | 84.3% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 57.3% | 67.3% | 69.0% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the Detroit Pistons won 1 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 7 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 96 | #4 | 1491 | 1676 | 1637 |
| 2024-25 | 88 | #14 | 1489 | 1576 | 1520 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | #29 | 1491 | 1513 | 1288 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | #30 | 1509 | 1509 | 1270 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | #25 | 1489 | 1489 | 1378 |
| 2020-21 | 72 | #26 | 1490 | 1490 | 1348 |
| 2019-20 | 66 | #29 | 1511 | 1511 | 1340 |
| 2018-19 | 86 | #18 | 1509 | 1544 | 1474 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | #19 | 1510 | 1563 | 1472 |
| 2016-17 | 82 | #22 | 1489 | 1525 | 1433 |
| 2015-16 | 86 | #15 | 1512 | 1540 | 1505 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | #22 | 1490 | 1490 | 1448 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | #25 | 1510 | 1510 | 1363 |
| 2012-13 | 82 | #24 | 1489 | 1489 | 1394 |
| 2011-12 | 66 | #20 | 1490 | 1490 | 1435 |
| 2010-11 | 82 | #25 | 1491 | 1491 | 1408 |
| 2009-10 | 82 | #27 | 1513 | 1514 | 1360 |
| 2008-09 | 86 | #20 | 1510 | 1564 | 1439 |
| 2007-08 | 99 | #5 | 1512 | 1667 | 1646 |
| 2006-07 | 98 | #4 | 1489 | 1667 | 1624 |
| 2005-06 | 100 | #4 | 1511 | 1701 | 1633 |
| 2004-05 | 107 | #3 | 1510 | 1680 | 1670 |
| 2003-04 | 105 | #1 | 1489 | 1693 | 1693 |
| 2002-03 | 99 | #12 | 1510 | 1618 | 1533 |
| 2001-02 | 92 | #8 | 1490 | 1607 | 1560 |
| 2000-01 | 82 | #22 | 1511 | 1511 | 1426 |
| 1999-00 | 85 | #17 | 1490 | 1558 | 1495 |
| 1998-99 | 55 | #8 | 1512 | 1567 | 1551 |
| 1997-98 | 82 | #19 | 1510 | 1522 | 1483 |
| 1996-97 | 87 | #10 | 1510 | 1646 | 1572 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins | PG | 22 | 10.7 |
| Cade Cunningham | PG | 72 | 4.7 |
| Tobias Harris | PF | 71 | 4.1 |
| Duncan Robinson | SF | 82 | 2.9 |
| Jalen Duren | C | 78 | 2.7 |
| Ausar Thompson | SF | 80 | -3.4 |
Every Detroit Pistons player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | W Detroit Pistons 52.8% | L 94-125 ✗ |
| May 15, 2026 | at Cleveland Cavaliers | L Detroit Pistons 32.9% | W 115-94 ✗ |
| May 13, 2026 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | W Detroit Pistons 70.0% | L 113-117 ✗ |
| May 11, 2026 | at Cleveland Cavaliers | L Detroit Pistons 32.1% | L 103-112 ✓ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Cleveland Cavaliers | L Detroit Pistons 33.9% | L 109-116 ✓ |
| May 07, 2026 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | W Detroit Pistons 77.8% | W 107-97 ✓ |
| May 05, 2026 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | W Detroit Pistons 77.7% | W 111-101 ✓ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Orlando Magic | W Detroit Pistons 80.3% | W 116-94 ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | at Orlando Magic | W Detroit Pistons 66.9% | W 93-79 ✓ |
| Apr 29, 2026 | vs Orlando Magic | W Detroit Pistons 70.6% | W 116-109 ✓ |
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