NBA 2025-2026: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder

Home Team
74.6%
116.6 pts
VS

Minnesota Timberwolves

Away Team
25.4%
110.0 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder is predicted to secure a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves with a 74.6% probability. The expected scoreline suggests a 116.6 to 110.0 victory for the Thunder. Oklahoma City's starting five features Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, and Isaiah Hartenstein. For the Timberwolves, the expected starters are Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, and Rudy Gobert.

Game Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder comes into this matchup on a roll, boasting a three-game winning streak. Their recent performances have been impressive, including a dominant 144-112 win against the Utah Jazz and a comfortable 122-95 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers. Key to their success has been Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averages 32.2 points per game with an outstanding offensive rating of 140.5. Complementing him, Chet Holmgren has also made significant contributions with 18.3 points per game. On the other hand, the Minnesota Timberwolves have had a mixed bag of results, with one win and two close losses in their last three games. Anthony Edwards is leading the charge with an average of 27.8 points per game, and Julius Randle provides a solid offensive threat with 24.2 points. However, the Timberwolves' defensive ratings pose a challenge, especially against a high-scoring team like the Thunder.

Final Prediction

Oklahoma City Thunder's consistent winning form and strong player performances give them the edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how the Timberwolves' defense handles Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's offensive prowess, as his scoring ability could be a game-changer. If the Timberwolves can manage to contain him, they might keep the game competitive.