NBA 2025-2026: New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

New Orleans Pelicans

Home Team
35.5%
118.8 pts
VS

Portland Trail Blazers

Away Team
64.5%
118.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Portland Trail Blazers are predicted to come out on top against the New Orleans Pelicans with a 64.5% probability. The anticipated scoreline suggests a narrow victory for Portland, with a predicted score of 118.8 to 118.2. The Pelicans' expected starting five includes Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, and Derik Queen. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are set to start Deni Avdija, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, and Robert Williams.

Game Analysis

Both teams have been struggling recently, with the New Orleans Pelicans on a three-game losing streak. They have suffered defeats against the San Antonio Spurs, Brooklyn Nets, and Minnesota Timberwolves, conceding over 125 points in two of these encounters. This trend suggests potential defensive vulnerabilities that the Trail Blazers could exploit. On the other hand, the Trail Blazers have shown a glimpse of potential with a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers, although they have faced setbacks against the Memphis Grizzlies and Detroit Pistons. Evaluating the starting lineups, the Pelicans' offense is spearheaded by Trey Murphy III with an average of 21.04 points per game, while their collective defensive ratings indicate potential areas of concern. Saddiq Bey and Jeremiah Fears add depth to their offensive strategy. For Portland, Deni Avdija leads with an impressive average of 25.83 points per game and the highest offensive rating among starters, while Robert Williams, despite a lower scoring average, boasts a significant defensive impact with a rating of 112.1. This could be pivotal in countering the Pelicans’ attacking threats.

Final Prediction

The Portland Trail Blazers are favored to win due to their slightly better recent form and stronger individual performances from key players like Deni Avdija and Robert Williams. A crucial factor to watch will be how Portland's defense, anchored by Williams, handles the dynamic scoring threats from the Pelicans, especially Trey Murphy III. This battle could very well determine the outcome of this competitive matchup.