NBA 2025-2026: Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

Phoenix Suns

Home Team
44.1%
114.1 pts
VS

Oklahoma City Thunder

Away Team
55.9%
118.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Oklahoma City Thunder are predicted to edge out the Phoenix Suns with a 55.9% probability of victory. The expected scoreline is 118.2 for the Thunder and 114.1 for the Suns. Expected to start for the Suns are Collin Gillespie, Devin Booker, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, and Mark Williams. For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, and Chet Holmgren are slated to take the court.

Game Analysis

Both the Phoenix Suns and the Oklahoma City Thunder have showcased impressive performances in their recent outings. The Suns have won two out of their last three games, including a dominant win against the Sacramento Kings with a score of 129-102. However, a setback was experienced against the Cleveland Cavaliers, where they lost 113-129. Key performances from Devin Booker, who averages 25.7 points, and Dillon Brooks, with 21.4 points per game, have been pivotal for the Suns. The Thunder are riding high with a three-game win streak, highlighted by a massive win over the Golden State Warriors, ending 131-94. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is leading the charge for the Thunder with an impressive average of 32.1 points per game, supported by Chet Holmgren's balanced contributions on both ends. The Thunder's starting five boast a robust offensive rating, with Gilgeous-Alexander and Holmgren leading the way, which could pose challenges for the Suns' defense.

Final Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder have a slight edge in this matchup due to their current form and offensive firepower, particularly from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. A key factor to watch will be the battle in the paint, where Chet Holmgren's defensive prowess could significantly impact the Suns' offensive rhythm.