NBA 2025-2026: Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
47.9%
119.2 pts
VS

Atlanta Hawks

Away Team
52.1%
117.0 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Atlanta Hawks are predicted to edge out the Memphis Grizzlies with a 52.1% probability, forecasting a close scoreline of 119.2 to 117.0. The expected starting five for the Grizzlies includes Ja Morant, Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama, and Jaren Jackson Jr. On the other side, the Hawks are expected to start Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Corey Kispert, Jalen Johnson, and Onyeka Okongwu.

Game Analysis

In their recent outings, the Memphis Grizzlies have shown mixed form, securing two wins against the Orlando Magic and Brooklyn Nets, but suffering a loss in between to the Magic. Key players like Ja Morant have been pivotal, averaging 19.26 points with a solid offensive presence. Defensively, however, the Grizzlies have room for improvement, as seen in their defensive ratings, particularly with Ja Morant and Jaylen Wells who have ratings above 116. Conversely, the Atlanta Hawks are currently navigating a three-game losing streak with losses to the Milwaukee Bucks, Boston Celtics, and Portland Trail Blazers. Despite these setbacks, Jalen Johnson has been a standout, contributing a remarkable average of 22.95 points per game. Offensively, the team boasts impressive ratings for Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu, though Corey Kispert's defensive struggles might be an area of concern. The collective offensive and defensive stats suggest a tightly contested matchup, with both teams displaying strengths and vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks are predicted to have a slight edge due to their robust offensive capabilities, particularly from Jalen Johnson and Nickeil Alexander-Walker. The key factor to watch will be whether the Hawks can tighten their defensive play against the Grizzlies' dynamic scorers, such as Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., to secure the victory.