Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Gael Monfils Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #26
49%
VS

Gael Monfils

Rank: #43
51%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Gael Monfils

Ranking Trends

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #26 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #62 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #57 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #34 (2024-05-20)

Gael Monfils

  • Current Rank: #43 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #38 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #55 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #45 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #38 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 35.6
ELO Rating: 1426.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1686.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.3

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 1456.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.8
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.4
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (0-1) clay Rome 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) clay Madrid 164 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) clay Barcelona 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) clay Barcelona 114 min

Gael Monfils
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Borna Gojo (2-1) clay Madrid 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (1-2) hard Miami 132 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (2-1) hard Miami 157 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Gael Monfils
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 32 match at the Hamburg tournament is set to bring together Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Gael Monfils on clay. With both players showing competitive spirits, the match is expected to be closely contested, with Gael Monfils slightly favored to win with a probability of 50.81%, compared to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's 49.19%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina currently holds a rank of 26 and a form index of 35.57, which indicates a dip in performance recently. His Elo rating is 1426.50, and with a surface strength index of 10.22, he shows some capability on clay. Notably, his mean serve index of 96.34 suggests he has a solid serve, while his mean return index of 87.30 is respectable but slightly lower than Monfils. On the other hand, Gael Monfils, ranked 43, boasts a higher form index of 52.25 and an Elo rating of 1456.17, indicating better recent performance. His surface strength index is at 8.73, while his mean serve index of 95.90 is just below Fokina's, but his mean return index of 85.74 puts him in a competitive position against Fokina. In their recent matches, Fokina has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat to Jesper de Jong in Rome. Conversely, Monfils has showcased resilience, winning against Borna Gojo in Madrid, although he also faced a setback against Andrey Rublev. This mix of performances highlights Monfils' potential to capitalize on Fokina's recent struggles.

Final Prediction

Gael Monfils holds the edge due to his higher form index and recent victory, which may boost his confidence heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Monfils' return game, as he will need to exploit Fokina's lower return index to establish control on the court.