Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
61%
VS

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #19
39%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #3 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-07-29)

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #21 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #29 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #29 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #26 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 51.3
ELO Rating: 6108.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1878.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 268.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 59.8
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.8

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 1438.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1711.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 287.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 12.4
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 89.3

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Toronto 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) grass Halle 179 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) grass Halle 101 min

Francisco Cerundolo
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Toronto 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (2-1) hard Toronto 178 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Taberner (1-2) clay Umag 200 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Bastad 153 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Bastad 106 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Zverev
vs
3
Francisco Cerundolo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 3
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto features Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo competing on hard courts. Zverev is favored to win, with a probability of 61.30%, while Cerundolo's chances stand at 38.70%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev, currently ranked 3rd, boasts a solid form index of 51.26 and an impressive Elo rating of 6108. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 268 minutes, which is moderate compared to his performance metrics. Zverev's surface strength index is 55.05, reflecting his capability on hard courts. Notably, his mean serve index is 98.17, significantly higher than Cerundolo's 95.56, indicating a clear advantage in serving effectiveness. Additionally, Zverev's mean return index of 87.84 surpasses Cerundolo's 89.29, suggesting he can handle returns effectively against his opponent. On the other hand, Francisco Cerundolo ranks 19th and has a form index of 47.46, showcasing a decent but less consistent performance level. His Elo rating of 1438 indicates a significant gap in experience and skill compared to Zverev. Cerundolo's fatigue level is slightly higher at 287 minutes, which may impact his performance. In his last three matches, Cerundolo has shown resilience, winning two out of three, with a strong performance against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, though he struggled against Carlos Taberner in Umag.

Final Prediction

Zverev's superior ranking, serving ability, and overall performance metrics give him a distinct edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Zverev's serve, as his ability to dominate on serve could be pivotal in determining the match outcome.