Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Alexei Popyrin vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #19
42%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #11
58%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 50.6
ELO Rating: 1457.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1634.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 137.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.7
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 12.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 86.7

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 55.8
ELO Rating: 1962.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1874.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 104.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.6
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 27.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Alexei Popyrin

  • Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (2-0) hard Cincinnati 137 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) hard Toronto 162 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-1) hard Toronto 123 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Toronto 150 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Nicolas Arseneault (2-0) hard Toronto 94 min

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-0) hard Cincinnati 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-1) hard Toronto 141 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Toronto 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) hard Toronto 86 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Alexei Popyrin
vs
0
Andrey Rublev
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, players Alexei Popyrin and Andrey Rublev will face off on hard courts in Ohio. The match is expected to be competitive, with Rublev predicted to win, holding a probability of 58.12% compared to Popyrin's 41.88%. The anticipated total number of games in the match is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Alexei Popyrin, currently ranked 19th, has a form index of 50.63 and an Elo rating of 1457.55. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 137 minutes, indicating he has spent significant time on court. Popyrin's surface strength index is 14.69, while his mean serve index is an impressive 97.83, although his mean return index of 86.73 lags slightly behind. In contrast, Andrey Rublev, ranked 11th, boasts a higher form index of 55.79 and an Elo rating of 1961.96. With a lower fatigue level of 104 minutes, Rublev's surface strength index is slightly better at 15.56. His mean serve index is 96.38, and he has a stronger mean return index at 87.44. The difference in their return indices indicates an advantage for Rublev in that aspect. In their recent performances, Popyrin has had mixed results, winning against Martin Landaluce in his last match but suffering a defeat to Alexander Zverev prior to that. He also achieved a victory against Holger Rune, which shows his capability to compete at a high level. Rublev, on the other hand, secured a solid win against Learner Tien in his latest outing, although he did face a setback against Taylor Fritz. He also managed to defeat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, showcasing his resilience.

Final Prediction

Rublev's higher rank, better recent form, and stronger return index provide him with a competitive edge heading into this matchup. A crucial factor to observe will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, especially Popyrin, as it may impact his performance against a seasoned opponent like Rublev.