Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Alexei Popyrin vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #25
61%
VS

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #53
39%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

Player Metrics

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 38.0
ELO Rating: 1578.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 14.8
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.2

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 35.7
ELO Rating: 1142.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1654.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 9.9
Grass: 11.9
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.6

Recent Matches

Alexei Popyrin

  • Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) clay Rome 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) clay Rome 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Madrid 110 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 177 min

Nicolas Jarry

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (2-0) clay Rome 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Grigor Dimitrov (0-2) clay Madrid 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) clay Madrid 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (1-2) clay Munich 140 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexei Popyrin
vs
0
Nicolas Jarry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 32 match at the Geneva tournament features Alexei Popyrin facing Nicolas Jarry on clay courts. With a predicted winner of Alexei Popyrin, he holds a 60.79% chance of victory, while Jarry's probability stands at 39.21%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 25, Alexei Popyrin boasts a strong form index of 38.04 and an Elo rating of 1578.60, indicating a solid level of play. He remains fresh with zero cumulative fatigue from the tournament thus far. His surface strength index of 13.24, combined with a mean serve index of 98.25 and mean return index of 87.19, showcases his capability, particularly on clay. In contrast, Nicolas Jarry, ranked 53, has a slightly lower form index of 35.66 and an Elo rating of 1142.02. With the same zero fatigue, Jarry's surface strength index of 9.92, mean serve index of 96.32, and mean return index of 84.59 suggest he may struggle to match Popyrin's serve and return capabilities, especially considering the notable difference of over 5 points in both indices. Reviewing their recent performances, Popyrin has faced mixed results, winning one of his last three matches, where he achieved a straight-set victory against Carlos Taberner. Conversely, Jarry has also won one of his last three encounters, beating Hugo Gaston but suffering defeats to stronger opponents like Francisco Cerundolo and Grigor Dimitrov. Both players have faced tough competition recently, but Popyrin's recent victory may provide him with a psychological advantage.

Final Prediction

Popyrin's superior ranking, serve, and return indices give him a tangible edge in this match-up. A key factor to watch will be how well Popyrin can utilize his serve to gain early advantages in games, which could dictate the flow of the match on the clay surface.