Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Andrey Rublev vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
66%
VS

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #69
34%
Expected Total Games: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

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Ranking Trends

Andrey Rublev

  • Current #17 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #10 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #8 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #6 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #6 2024-05-20

Damir Dzumhur

  • Current #69 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #97 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #106 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #81 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #129 2024-05-20

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 21.3
ELO Rating: 2441.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1895.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 23.1
Grass: 28.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 37.0
ELO Rating: 785.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1558.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.6
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 90.0

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Damir Dzumhur
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Damir Dzumhur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The stage is set for an intriguing encounter between Andrey Rublev and Damir Dzumhur in the Round of 32 at the Hamburg tournament, taking place on clay courts in Germany. Rublev is favored to win with a probability of 65.70%, while Dzumhur has a 34.30% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is 21.0.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 17, has a form index of 21.27, indicating moderate performance in recent matches. His Elo rating stands at 2441.36, showcasing his competitive stature. Notably, Rublev's surface strength index is 23.10, significantly more robust than Dzumhur’s 6.73. Furthermore, Rublev's mean serve index of 98.24 exceeds Dzumhur’s 94.90 by more than five points, highlighting an advantage in serve effectiveness. In terms of return, Rublev's index of 87.55 also surpasses Dzumhur’s by over five points, suggesting he may handle Dzumhur's serve better. Conversely, Damir Dzumhur is ranked 69 and has a form index of 37.03, indicating he has shown some resilience recently. His recent performances, however, reflect a struggle, losing his last two matches in straight sets against formidable opponents. In contrast, Rublev has faced similar fate in his last three matches but has shown a stronger competitive edge, losing closely contested matches against high-ranked players.

Final Prediction

Rublev's superior ranking, serve, and return indices provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to observe will be Rublev's ability to capitalize on his serve and return game, which could prove pivotal in securing his victory against Dzumhur.

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