Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Alexei Popyrin vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #25
55%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #91
45%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

Ranking Trends

Alexei Popyrin

  • Current Rank: #25 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #24 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #28 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #51 (2024-05-20)

Cameron Norrie

  • Current Rank: #91 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #59 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #50 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #47 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #33 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 51.1
ELO Rating: 1581.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1617.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 217.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 13.3
Grass: 14.8
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 87.4

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 59.0
ELO Rating: 1120.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1686.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 353.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 9.0
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Alexei Popyrin
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) clay Geneva 70 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolas Jarry (2-1) clay Geneva 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) clay Rome 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) clay Rome 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Madrid 110 min

Cameron Norrie
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas MacHac (2-1) clay Geneva 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dominic Stricker (2-0) clay Geneva 95 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) clay Geneva 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ergi Kirkin (2-0) clay Geneva 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) clay Rome 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexei Popyrin
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Alexei Popyrin and Cameron Norrie at the Geneva tournament promises to be an intriguing battle on clay. Popyrin is slightly favored to win, with a probability of 54.75%, compared to Norrie's 45.25%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 24.

Match Analysis

Alexei Popyrin currently holds a rank of 25 and possesses a form index of 51.14, indicating a solid level of play. His Elo rating of 1581 suggests he has been performing well against competitive opponents. Popyrin's fatigue level stands at 217 minutes, which is relatively moderate, while his surface strength index of 13.26 reflects decent proficiency on clay. His mean serve index of 98.26 is notably higher than Norrie's 95.98, giving him a significant edge in serving ability. Additionally, while Popyrin's mean return index of 87.36 is slightly lower than Norrie's 88.75, the difference is minimal. In contrast, Cameron Norrie is ranked 91 with a form index of 59.02, indicating a recent uptick in performance. However, his Elo rating of 1120 is considerably lower than Popyrin’s. Norrie's fatigue level is higher at 353 minutes, which could impact his stamina in this match. Over their last three matches, Norrie has shown resilience, winning all of them, including a challenging match against Tomas MacHac. Popyrin has also been successful in his recent outings, winning two out of three matches, with a notable victory against Nicolas Jarry.

Final Prediction

Popyrin's superior ranking, serve, and lower fatigue level provide him with a notable advantage heading into this quarterfinal encounter. A key factor to watch will be how both players handle the pressure in crucial moments, particularly Popyrin's ability to capitalize on his serving strength.