Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #91
41%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #20
59%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 55.0
ELO Rating: 1120.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1681.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 248.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.9
Grass: 9.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.8

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 38.8
ELO Rating: 1559.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1602.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 15.8
Grass: 14.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Dominic Stricker (2-0) clay Geneva 95 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) clay Geneva 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ergi Kirkin (2-0) clay Geneva 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) clay Rome 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) clay Rome 76 min

Tomas Machac

  • Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (1-2) clay Rome 143 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-0) clay Rome 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (1-2) clay Madrid 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 108 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 114 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Geneva tournament will feature Cameron Norrie facing off against Tomas Machac on clay. With the tournament's ATP 250 status, both players aim to advance deeper into the competition. The predicted winner is Tomas Machac, who has a win probability of 59.26%, while Cameron Norrie stands at 40.74%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 91, possesses a form index of 55.01 and an Elo rating of 1120.52. He is experiencing cumulative fatigue of 248 minutes from prior matches in the tournament, which may impact his performance. On clay, his surface strength index is 8.94, indicating moderate capability on this surface. In contrast, Tomas Machac, ranked 20, boasts a higher Elo rating of 1559.32 and a surface strength index of 15.82, suggesting he is more comfortable on clay. Machac's fatigue level is at 0.0, which gives him a physical edge over Norrie. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index is minimal at 1.83, while Norrie's mean return index of 88.75 surpasses Machac's 87.16 by a slight margin. In their recent performances, Cameron Norrie has shown solid form, winning all three of his last matches in the Geneva tournament without losing a set. His victories over Dominic Stricker, Jenson Brooksby, and Ergi Kirkin demonstrate his effective play on clay. Conversely, Tomas Machac's recent matches have been more inconsistent, with a mixed record in Rome, including a loss to Tommy Paul. However, he did secure a convincing win against Learner Tien, indicating potential for a bounce back.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac holds a decisive edge due to his higher ranking, lower fatigue level, and superior surface strength index, which positions him favorably against Norrie. A key factor to monitor will be how both players manage their fatigue and capitalize on their serving and returning capabilities during the match.