Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Fabian Marozsan vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #61
16%
VS

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: #3
84%
Predicted Games Played: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Carlos Alcaraz

Ranking Trends

Fabian Marozsan

  • Current Rank: #61 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #55 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #58 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #51 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #43 (2024-05-27)

Carlos Alcaraz

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #3 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #3 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #3 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #3 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 59.7
ELO Rating: 1352.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1617.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.0

Carlos Alcaraz

Form Index: 75.9
ELO Rating: 6533.2
Glicko2 Rating: 2359.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 54.6
Clay: 59.7
Grass: 58.9
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Nardi (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Geneva 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Karue Sell (2-0) clay Geneva 45 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) clay Rome 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) clay Rome 142 min

Carlos Alcaraz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Giulio Zeppieri (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jannik Sinner (2-0) clay Rome 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) clay Rome 123 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (2-0) clay Rome 97 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) clay Rome 148 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Fabian Marozsan
vs
1
Carlos Alcaraz
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the second round of the prestigious Roland Garros unfolds in France, a compelling matchup is set between Fabian Marozsan and Carlos Alcaraz, both vying for a spot in the Round of 32 on the clay courts. The predicted winner is Carlos Alcaraz, who holds an impressive 84.30% probability of victory against Marozsan's 15.70%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is around 34.

Match Analysis

Carlos Alcaraz, currently ranked 3rd, boasts a form index of 75.88 and an impressive Elo rating of 6533.20, indicating his strong performance on the circuit. His surface strength index of 59.66 reflects his adeptness on clay, although his mean serve index of 95.05 is slightly lower than Marozsan's 97.02. However, Alcaraz excels in return game with a mean return index of 87.89, which is marginally higher than Marozsan's 87.00. Both players share a cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes from their previous matches, suggesting they are equally tested leading into this contest. Fabian Marozsan, ranked 61st, has shown some resilience, particularly in his last match, where he achieved a comprehensive victory over Luca Nardi without dropping a set. His recent performances, however, have been mixed, as evidenced by a defeat to Matteo Arnaldi in the Geneva tournament. In contrast, Alcaraz has been in formidable form, winning all three of his last matches convincingly, including a straight-sets victory against Giulio Zeppieri at Roland Garros. This stark difference in momentum and consistency further favors Alcaraz.

Final Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz's significant edge in overall ranking, recent form, and superior return game positions him as the clear favorite in this matchup. A critical factor to monitor during the match will be how Marozsan's serve holds up against Alcaraz's aggressive return capabilities, which could heavily influence the outcome.