S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Daniil Medvedev vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #11
74%
VS

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #127
26%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 31.2
ELO Rating: 3788.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2160.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 43.0
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 35.7
ELO Rating: 507.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 278.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Rome 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) clay Rome 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) clay Rome 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 100 min

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Blockx (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 141 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Dutra da Silva (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 49 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luca Van Assche (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (1-2) clay Rome 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Adrian Mannarino
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Daniil Medvedev and Adrian Mannarino is set in the Round of 16 at the s-Hertogenbosch tournament, held on grass in the Netherlands. With Medvedev ranked 11th and boasting a robust probability of winning at 73.92%, he enters the match as the favorite against Mannarino, who has a 26.08% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is 21.0.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev holds a significantly higher rank at 11 compared to Adrian Mannarino’s 127, which reflects their contrasting levels of experience and performance on the tour. Medvedev's form index stands at 31.17, while Mannarino's is slightly higher at 35.70, suggesting both players are in reasonable form, but Medvedev's superior rank and Elo rating of 3788.28 indicate a stronger overall game. One notable factor is Medvedev's fatigue level at 0.0, compared to Mannarino’s 278.0 minutes, which could impact Mannarino's performance. The surface strength index also highlights Medvedev's advantage with a score of 42.99, whereas Mannarino sits at just 5.93, indicating Medvedev's greater adaptability to grass. In their recent performances, Medvedev has faced challenges on clay, losing two out of his last three matches, including a tough contest against Cameron Norrie. However, his victory against Alexei Popyrin earlier shows his capability to bounce back. Mannarino, on the other hand, has had mixed results at this tournament, winning against Christopher O'Connell but losing to Alexander Blockx, which may affect his confidence heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's superior ranking, lower fatigue levels, and significantly better surface strength index give him a distinct edge over Adrian Mannarino. A key factor to watch during the match will be Medvedev's service game, as his mean serve index of 96.57 is slightly higher than Mannarino's 95.61, potentially leading to crucial points in tight situations.