Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Fabian Marozsan vs Luca Nardi Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #61
57%
VS

Luca Nardi

Rank: #95
43%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Fabian Marozsan

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Ranking Trends

Fabian Marozsan

  • Current #61 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #55 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #58 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #51 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #43 2024-05-27

Luca Nardi

  • Current #95 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #79 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #91 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #90 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #72 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 42.4
ELO Rating: 1349.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1611.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.2
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.0

Luca Nardi

Form Index: 35.8
ELO Rating: 730.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1550.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.4

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Geneva 112 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Karue Sell (2-0) clay Geneva 45 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) clay Rome 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-1) clay Rome 142 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (2-0) clay Rome 87 min

Luca Nardi
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Rome 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) clay Rome 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Hugo Gaston (0-2) clay Madrid 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Manas Dhamne (2-0) clay Madrid 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 89 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Fabian Marozsan
vs
0
Luca Nardi
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Fabian Marozsan and Luca Nardi at the Roland Garros tournament in France marks the Round of 128 on clay, a surface known for its unique challenges. Fabian Marozsan is predicted to win with a probability of 57.30%, while Luca Nardi's chances stand at 42.70%. The anticipated total number of games played in this contest is around 37.

Match Analysis

Fabian Marozsan, currently ranked 61, boasts a form index of 42.40 and an Elo rating of 1349.73, indicating a strong competitive edge. His surface strength index of 9.95 reflects his capability on clay, while his mean serve index of 97.06 is considerably higher than Nardi's 94.91, creating a notable difference of over 5 points. Marozsan’s mean return index is 87.03, suggesting solid return skills, although Nardi's index of 87.40 shows he is closely matched in this area. In contrast, Luca Nardi, ranked 95, has a form index of 35.75 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 730.35. Both players enter the match without cumulative fatigue from previous rounds. Recent performances indicate Marozsan has struggled, winning only one of his last three matches, while Nardi has split his outcomes, winning one and losing two in similar circumstances on clay. Notably, both players faced tough opponents, with Marozsan losing to Matteo Arnaldi and Nardi to Alex de Minaur.

Final Prediction

Fabian Marozsan holds the edge due to his higher ranking, superior serve index, and better recent form compared to Nardi. A key factor to watch will be how well Marozsan can leverage his serve to dictate points, especially on the clay surface, which may prove crucial in determining the match's outcome.

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