Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Francisco Comesana vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #71
33%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #33
67%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Ranking Trends

Francisco Comesana

  • Current Rank: #71 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #64 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #67 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #84 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #108 (2024-08-26)

Alex Michelsen

  • Current Rank: #33 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #33 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #34 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #42 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #49 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 34.5
ELO Rating: 852.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.8

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 45.3
ELO Rating: 1268.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mattia Bellucci (0-2) hard Winston Salem 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-2) hard Cincinnati 64 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (2-1) hard Cincinnati 188 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Toronto 90 min

Alex Michelsen
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Cincinnati 146 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Toronto 104 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-0) hard Toronto 80 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Toronto 151 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Alex Michelsen
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at the US Open taking place on hard courts in New York, Francisco Comesana is set to face Alex Michelsen. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with Michelsen predicted to win with a probability of 66.82%, while Comesana has a 33.18% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Francisco Comesana, currently ranked 71, has a form index of 34.50 and an Elo rating of 852.67. His surface strength index stands at 6.00, indicating a moderate ability on hard courts. He has shown signs of fatigue with zero cumulative minutes played in the current tournament. Conversely, Alex Michelsen, ranked 33, boasts a stronger form index of 45.28 and an Elo rating of 1268.60. His surface strength index of 11.51 reflects better performance on hard courts compared to Comesana. Notably, Michelsen's mean serve index (95.99) is slightly lower than Comesana's (97.32), but his mean return index (88.72) surpasses Comesana's (87.78) by a narrow margin, which could play a significant role in the match. Recent performances reveal a mixed bag for both players. Comesana's last three matches include two losses against high-ranking opponents, Andrey Rublev and Mattia Bellucci, with only one win against Reilly Opelka. This suggests a struggle to maintain form against top players. In contrast, Michelsen's last three matches included an impressive win against Corentin Moutet, although he also faced defeats against Holger Rune and Karen Khachanov. Despite the losses, Michelsen's overall performance in those matches indicates he has been more competitive.

Final Prediction

Michelsen's higher ranking, combined with a better form index and recent performance, provides him with a significant edge heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Michelsen's ability to capitalize on his return game, as his superior return index could dictate the pace and pressure of the match.