Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Hugo Gaston vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Hugo Gaston

Rank: #86
24%
VS

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #17
76%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Player Metrics

Hugo Gaston

Form Index: 46.1
ELO Rating: 714.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 89.5

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 40.3
ELO Rating: 1475.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1621.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Hugo Gaston

  • Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (1-2) clay Geneva 144 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (0-2) clay Rome 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Madrid 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-0) clay Madrid 80 min

Jakub Mensik

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) grass Eastbourne 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (2-0) grass Eastbourne 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (1-2) grass London 141 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Henrique Rocha (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Hugo Gaston
vs
1
Jakub Mensik
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Wimbledon between Hugo Gaston and Jakub Mensik is set to be an intriguing clash in the Round of 128 on the grass surface. With Mensik currently holding a strong position in the tournament, he is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 75.51%, while Gaston lags behind at 24.49%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be around 35.

Match Analysis

Hugo Gaston, ranked 86, demonstrates a form index of 46.06 and an Elo rating of 714.26, which indicates a significant discrepancy in performance levels compared to his opponent. His surface strength index on grass stands at 6.19, showcasing limited effectiveness on this surface. In contrast, Jakub Mensik, with an impressive rank of 17, has a much higher Elo rating of 1475.84 and a surface strength index of 7.66. This suggests that Mensik is more adept at navigating the challenges of grass courts. Furthermore, Gaston's mean serve index is 96.61, while Mensik's is slightly lower at 96.17, indicating a marginal advantage for Gaston. However, Mensik’s mean return index of 87.75 offers him a notable edge over Gaston’s 89.52. In their recent performances, Gaston has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat at Roland Garros. His victories have been hard to come by, reflecting a challenging transition onto grass. Conversely, Mensik's recent results are mixed but he had a strong showing against Opelka. His potential to perform on grass, highlighted by his recent experiences, provides him with a psychological and technical advantage heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's superior rank, Elo rating, and recent form give him a significant edge over Hugo Gaston in this match. The key factor to observe will be Mensik's ability to capitalize on Gaston's return game, which could dictate the flow of the match and solidify his path to victory.