Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Matteo Arnaldi vs Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi

Rank: #41
56%
VS

Jan-Lennard Struff

Rank: #103
44%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Arnaldi

Ranking Trends

Matteo Arnaldi

  • Current Rank: #41 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #35 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #37 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #33 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #34 (2024-06-10)

Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Current Rank: #103 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #46 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #42 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #38 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #35 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Matteo Arnaldi

Form Index: 50.6
ELO Rating: 1377.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1632.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 12.5
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.1

Jan-Lennard Struff

Form Index: 12.6
ELO Rating: 937.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 11.1
Grass: 12.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Matteo Arnaldi
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-2) clay Geneva 99 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Geneva 112 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Gaston (2-1) clay Geneva 144 min

Jan-Lennard Struff
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Justin Engel (0-2) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (1-2) clay Madrid 118 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-1) clay Madrid 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-1) clay Munich 54 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Matteo Arnaldi
vs
0
Jan-Lennard Struff
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Matteo Arnaldi and Jan-Lennard Struff at the Stuttgart ATP 250 event marks a crucial Round of 32 encounter on grass. With a slight edge, Matteo Arnaldi is predicted to win with a probability of 55.94%, while Jan-Lennard Struff holds a 44.06% chance of victory. The match is forecasted to feature a total of approximately 24 games.

Match Analysis

Matteo Arnaldi, currently ranked 41, possesses a superior form index of 50.60 compared to Struff's 12.64, indicating a stark contrast in their recent performances. Additionally, Arnaldi's Elo rating of 1377.48 significantly outstrips Struff's 937.75, suggesting he has been performing at a higher level overall. Both players enter the match with no cumulative fatigue, which may lead to a high-intensity contest. On grass, Arnaldi's surface strength index of 11.62 is slightly lower than Struff’s 12.30, highlighting Struff's marginal adaptability to this surface. However, the difference in their mean serve index is minimal, with Arnaldi at 96.94 and Struff at 96.27, indicating that both players are proficient servers. In their recent matches, Arnaldi's performance has been mixed, having won one out of his last three matches, including a notable victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime. Conversely, Struff has struggled, losing all three of his recent encounters, including a match against Sebastian Ofner. This recent form could weigh heavily on Struff as he approaches this match against a more consistent opponent.

Final Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi's higher rank, better form index, and Elo rating provide him with a significant advantage heading into this match. A key factor to observe will be Arnaldi's ability to capitalize on any mental edge stemming from Struff's recent struggles, as confidence could play a decisive role in the outcome of this contest.