Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Finals

Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Jannik Sinner

Rank: #2
71%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
29%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Jannik Sinner

Player Metrics

Jannik Sinner

Form Index: 69.0
ELO Rating: 11095.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2165.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 328.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 96.9
Clay: 97.8
Grass: 98.9
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 89.3

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 65.3
ELO Rating: 5630.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1879.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 318.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 50.7
Clay: 54.0
Grass: 59.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Jannik Sinner

  • Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (2-0) hard Vienna 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) hard Vienna 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (1-0) hard Vienna 58 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (1-2) hard Shanghai 156 min

Alexander Zverev

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Vienna 92 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) hard Vienna 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) hard Vienna 139 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) hard Shanghai 132 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-0) hard Shanghai 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Jannik Sinner
vs
0
Alexander Zverev
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The finals of the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna sees Jannik Sinner facing off against Alexander Zverev on hard courts. With Sinner currently ranked 2nd and Zverev at 3rd, the match promises to be an exciting contest. The predicted winner is Jannik Sinner, with a probability of winning at 70.88% compared to Zverev's 29.12%. The match is expected to consist of approximately 21 games.

Match Analysis

Jannik Sinner's current form index stands at 69.02, significantly higher than Alexander Zverev's 65.25, indicating Sinner's superior performance level lately. In terms of Elo ratings, Sinner's score of 11095.28 greatly surpasses Zverev's 5630.05, highlighting his consistent excellence in recent tournaments. Sinner has also demonstrated an impressive surface strength index of 96.93, compared to Zverev's 50.75, showcasing his dominance on hard courts. Furthermore, Sinner's mean serve index of 97.66 is markedly better than Zverev's 96.53, which could provide him an advantage in service games. The return indices are closely matched, with Sinner at 89.30 and Zverev at 87.54, but still favoring Sinner. In their recent performances, Sinner has been flawless, winning all his last three matches without dropping a set, including decisive victories over Alex de Minaur and Alexander Bublik. Zverev, while also successful in his last matches, faced a tougher challenge against Jacob Fearnley, where he dropped a set, indicating some vulnerability. Both players are exhibiting strong form, but Sinner’s consistency and ability to close out matches effectively sets him apart.

Final Prediction

Jannik Sinner's edge in both ranking and recent performance, coupled with superior statistics in serve and surface strength, positions him as the clear favorite in this final. A key factor to watch will be Sinner’s serving efficiency, as maintaining his high serve index could significantly dictate the match's outcome.