London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Jenson Brooksby vs Jack Draper Prediction

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #149
27%
VS

Jack Draper

Rank: #6
73%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jack Draper

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Ranking Trends

Jenson Brooksby

  • Current #149 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #937 2025-03-03

Jack Draper

  • Current #6 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #7 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #15 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #20 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #31 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 51.9
ELO Rating: 670.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 0.0
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 88.0

Jack Draper

Form Index: 77.0
ELO Rating: 2624.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1695.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.3
Clay: 19.8
Grass: 23.1
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Jenson Brooksby
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaime Faria (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (0-2) clay Geneva 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Radu Albot (2-1) clay Geneva 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) clay Houston 87 min

Jack Draper
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jenson Brooksby
vs
1
Jack Draper
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Jenson Brooksby and Jack Draper takes place during the Round of 32 at a prestigious ATP 500 tournament on grass in London, Great Britain. Jack Draper is predicted to win this encounter with a probability of 72.93%, while Jenson Brooksby has a win probability of 27.07%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Jack Draper, currently ranked 6th in the world, holds a significant edge over Jenson Brooksby, who is ranked 149th. Draper's form index of 77.00 indicates a strong performance level, especially compared to Brooksby’s 51.87. Furthermore, Draper's Elo rating of 2624.80 greatly surpasses Brooksby's 670.56, illustrating his higher competitiveness in the sport. Both players have a fatigue level of 0.0, indicating they are relatively fresh going into this match. Draper's surface strength index on grass is 23.11, suggesting he has some proficiency on this surface, while Brooksby has a surface strength index of 0.0. In their recent performances, Brooksby has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches on clay, including a straight-sets defeat to Sebastian Korda at Roland Garros. His only victory in the last three matches came against Jaime Faria, where he won 3-1 in sets. On the other hand, Draper has had a more mixed bag of results, winning against Joao Fonseca and Gael Monfils, but losing his latest match to Alexander Bublik. Nevertheless, his overall form and higher match-level experience give him the upper hand.

Final Prediction

Jack Draper’s superior ranking, form index, and Elo rating, combined with his experience on grass, provide him with a clear advantage in this matchup against Jenson Brooksby. A key factor to watch will be Draper’s ability to capitalize on serving opportunities, as both players have relatively close mean serve indices, but Draper's slightly higher index may play a crucial role in dictating the pace of the match.

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