Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #39
47%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
53%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Ranking Trends

Learner Tien

  • Current Rank: #39 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #80 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #125 (2024-10-28)

Andrey Rublev

  • Current Rank: #17 (2025-10-27)
  • 3 Months Ago: #11 (2025-07-28)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #10 (2025-01-27)
  • 12 Months Ago: #7 (2024-10-28)

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 57.5
ELO Rating: 1305.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 81.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 88.2

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 26.1
ELO Rating: 1680.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1842.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.3
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 27.1
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Learner Tien
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Paris 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) hard Shanghai 172 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Shanghai 126 min

Andrey Rublev
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) hard Vienna 126 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) hard Beijing 112 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (0-2) hard Hangzhou 108 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Learner Tien
vs
1
Andrey Rublev
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 match in Paris, part of a Masters 1000 tournament, features Learner Tien facing off against Andrey Rublev on a hard court surface. According to the analysis, Andrey Rublev is favored to win, with a probability of 53.03%, while Learner Tien has a 46.97% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien, currently ranked 39, has a form index of 57.46 and an Elo rating of 1305.43. His fatigue level is relatively high at 81.0 minutes, which may affect his performance. His surface strength index stands at 10.58, and he boasts a mean serve index of 96.10, indicating solid serving capability. On the other hand, Andrey Rublev, ranked 17, has a lower form index of 26.12, but his Elo rating significantly outpaces Tien's at 1680.68. Notably, Rublev has zero cumulative fatigue, which could provide him a significant advantage in this matchup. His surface strength index is higher at 13.27, and he has a mean serve index of 96.19, showing a slight edge in serving. Both players have had mixed results in their recent matches. Tien's last three matches include a decisive victory against Nuno Borges in Paris and two losses against higher-ranked opponents, Daniil Medvedev and Cameron Norrie. Conversely, Rublev has struggled, losing his last three matches against Cameron Norrie, Yoshihito Nishioka, and Flavio Cobolli, all in hard court tournaments. This recent form may weigh on his confidence heading into the match against Tien.

Final Prediction

Andrey Rublev's experience, higher Elo rating, and absence of fatigue give him a notable advantage over Learner Tien. The key factor to watch will be how Tien's serving and returning capabilities hold up against Rublev’s consistent performance, despite their recent struggles. If Tien can leverage his serve effectively, he may create opportunities to challenge Rublev.