Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #52
52%
VS

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #46
48%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

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Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 57.1
ELO Rating: 1253.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1644.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.1
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.9

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 22.5
ELO Rating: 999.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Learner Tien

Miomir Kecmanovic

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Miomir Kecmanovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Learner Tien and Miomir Kecmanovic at the Shanghai Masters 1000 event promises to be a closely contested affair on hard courts. Tien is slightly favored to win with a probability of 51.85%, while Kecmanovic holds a 48.15% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0, indicating a potential for a competitive match.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien currently ranks 52nd with a form index of 57.08, indicating a solid performance level, especially compared to Miomir Kecmanovic, who ranks 46th but has a much lower form index of 22.49. Tien's Elo rating stands at 1253.92, significantly higher than Kecmanovic's 999.32, showcasing his better overall ability in recent matches. In terms of fatigue, both players show zero cumulative fatigue, which means they will enter the match fresh. Tien's surface strength index of 10.08 slightly surpasses Kecmanovic’s 9.26, giving him an edge on hard courts. Notably, Tien has a mean serve index of 95.98 compared to Kecmanovic’s 95.44, though the difference here is minimal. The mean return index shows a more considerable gap, with Tien at 87.93, outperforming Kecmanovic’s 86.93. In their last three matches, Tien has shown a mixed form, winning two out of three, including a notable victory against Lorenzo Musetti. His recent loss to Jannik Sinner, however, suggests he can be challenged. Conversely, Kecmanovic has struggled significantly, losing all three recent matches, including a disappointing performance against Jakub Mensik. His inability to secure a set in these encounters raises concerns about his current form heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's superior Elo rating and recent form provide him with a critical edge over Miomir Kecmanovic as they prepare to face off. Tien's stronger return index could be a decisive factor, potentially allowing him to capitalize on Kecmanovic's serve. Observers should watch for Tien's ability to exploit any weaknesses in Kecmanovic's game, particularly on crucial service games.

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