Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovic Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #52
52%
VS

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #46
48%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 57.1
ELO Rating: 1253.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1644.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.1
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.9

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 22.5
ELO Rating: 999.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 86.9

Recent Matches

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Beijing 72 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Beijing 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-0) hard Beijing 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-1) hard Beijing 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (1-2) hard Hangzhou 158 min

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) hard Beijing 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (0-2) hard Winston Salem 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Winston Salem 58 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Learner Tien
vs
0
Miomir Kecmanovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Learner Tien and Miomir Kecmanovic at the Shanghai Masters 1000 event promises to be a closely contested affair on hard courts. Tien is slightly favored to win with a probability of 51.85%, while Kecmanovic holds a 48.15% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0, indicating a potential for a competitive match.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien currently ranks 52nd with a form index of 57.08, indicating a solid performance level, especially compared to Miomir Kecmanovic, who ranks 46th but has a much lower form index of 22.49. Tien's Elo rating stands at 1253.92, significantly higher than Kecmanovic's 999.32, showcasing his better overall ability in recent matches. In terms of fatigue, both players show zero cumulative fatigue, which means they will enter the match fresh. Tien's surface strength index of 10.08 slightly surpasses Kecmanovic’s 9.26, giving him an edge on hard courts. Notably, Tien has a mean serve index of 95.98 compared to Kecmanovic’s 95.44, though the difference here is minimal. The mean return index shows a more considerable gap, with Tien at 87.93, outperforming Kecmanovic’s 86.93. In their last three matches, Tien has shown a mixed form, winning two out of three, including a notable victory against Lorenzo Musetti. His recent loss to Jannik Sinner, however, suggests he can be challenged. Conversely, Kecmanovic has struggled significantly, losing all three recent matches, including a disappointing performance against Jakub Mensik. His inability to secure a set in these encounters raises concerns about his current form heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Learner Tien's superior Elo rating and recent form provide him with a critical edge over Miomir Kecmanovic as they prepare to face off. Tien's stronger return index could be a decisive factor, potentially allowing him to capitalize on Kecmanovic's serve. Observers should watch for Tien's ability to exploit any weaknesses in Kecmanovic's game, particularly on crucial service games.