Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Mariano Navone vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Mariano Navone

Rank: #99
48%
VS

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #29
52%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Mariano Navone

  • Current #99 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #64 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #47 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #36 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #31 2024-05-27

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current #29 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #42 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #38 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #50 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #84 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 40.6
ELO Rating: 1134.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 8.8
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 90.5

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 38.7
ELO Rating: 1257.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 84.2

Recent Matches

Mariano Navone
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Brandon Nakashima
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mariano Navone
vs
0
Brandon Nakashima
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros 2025, Mariano Navone faces off against Brandon Nakashima on the clay courts of France. The matchup is expected to be closely contested, with Nakashima slightly favored to win at a probability of 52.35% compared to Navone's 47.65%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is approximately 36.

Match Analysis

Mariano Navone, currently ranked 99, has a form index of 40.56 and an Elo rating of 1134.11. His surface strength index stands at 10.16, indicating moderate proficiency on clay. In contrast, Brandon Nakashima is significantly better positioned at rank 29, with a form index of 38.67 and a higher Elo rating of 1257.95. Nakashima also holds a marginally superior surface strength index of 10.92. The mean serve index for Navone is 96.64, while Nakashima's is 96.73, showing a negligible difference. However, Navone's mean return index of 90.49 is notably better than Nakashima's 84.21, giving him an edge in returning serve. Looking at their recent performances, Navone has had a mixed bag of results. He won his match against Federico Cina but lost to both Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton in his last two outings. Conversely, Nakashima has also experienced inconsistency, with a recent loss to Luciano Darderi, but he managed to secure a win against Raphael Collignon in Hamburg. Both players are currently experiencing low cumulative fatigue, which may impact their stamina positively throughout the match.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima holds a slight edge in terms of overall ranking and Elo rating, which may provide him with the confidence needed to advance. However, Mariano Navone's superior mean return index indicates he could challenge Nakashima's serve effectively. A key factor to watch will be how well Navone can leverage his return game to disrupt Nakashima's rhythm on serve.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel