Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Reilly Opelka vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #94
40%
VS

Mariano Navone

Rank: #99
60%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Mariano Navone

Ranking Trends

Reilly Opelka

  • Current Rank: #94 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #299 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #324 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1178 (2024-05-27)

Mariano Navone

  • Current Rank: #99 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #64 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #47 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #36 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #31 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 53.3
ELO Rating: 848.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1662.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 98.7
Return Rating: 83.3

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 59.1
ELO Rating: 1177.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1574.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 9.0
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 90.4

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Geneva 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Enrico Dalla Valle (2-0) clay Geneva 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (0-2) clay Rome 108 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) clay Madrid 106 min

Mariano Navone
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) clay Rome 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Federico Cina (2-0) clay Rome 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (1-2) clay Madrid 139 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) clay Madrid 84 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Mariano Navone
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Reilly Opelka and Mariano Navone at the Roland Garros tournament marks an intriguing contest in the Round of 64 on clay. The predicted winner is Mariano Navone, with a probability of victory at 59.73%, while Reilly Opelka holds a 40.27% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is approximately 38.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka is currently ranked 94th, with a form index of 53.33 and an Elo rating of 848.41. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, which could impact his performance. Opelka's surface strength index on clay is relatively low at 3.62, while his mean serve index is a notable 98.75, reflecting his ability to deliver powerful serves. However, his mean return index is at 83.27, indicating a weaker return game compared to Navone. In contrast, Mariano Navone, ranked 99th, has a form index of 59.06 and an Elo rating of 1177.06, showcasing better recent performance. Similar to Opelka, he also has 174 minutes of fatigue, but his surface strength index is significantly higher at 10.52. Navone's mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.11, but his mean return index of 90.43 is substantially better, providing him with a strong advantage in this aspect of the game. Evaluating their recent matches, both players have shown strength, with Opelka winning two out of his last three while Navone has also secured two victories.

Final Prediction

Mariano Navone's advantage in return game strength and overall recent form may give him the edge in this match. The key factor to observe will be how effectively Opelka can leverage his serving power against Navone's solid return game, as this will likely dictate the flow and outcome of the match.