Shanghai
China
Hard
Masters 1000
Round of 64
Marin Cilic vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Marin Cilic
Rank: #97
16%
VS
Novak Djokovic
Rank: #4
84%
Predicted Games Played:
22.0
Predicted Winner:
Novak Djokovic
Ranking Trends
Marin Cilic
- Current Rank: #97 (2025-09-22)
- 3 Months Ago: #83 (2025-06-30)
- 6 Months Ago: #118 (2025-03-31)
- 9 Months Ago: #179 (2024-12-30)
- 12 Months Ago: #211 (2024-09-30)
Novak Djokovic
- Current Rank: #4 (2025-09-22)
- 3 Months Ago: #6 (2025-06-30)
- 6 Months Ago: #5 (2025-03-31)
- 9 Months Ago: #7 (2024-12-30)
- 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-09-30)
Player Metrics
Marin Cilic
Form Index:
47.4
ELO Rating:
790.6
Glicko2 Rating:
1525.7
Current Fatigue (minutes):
89.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
7.6
Clay:
2.9
Grass:
5.3
Serve Rating:
96.3
Return Rating:
86.8
Novak Djokovic
Form Index:
96.8
ELO Rating:
3511.9
Glicko2 Rating:
2548.7
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
31.3
Clay:
31.2
Grass:
33.5
Serve Rating:
94.9
Return Rating:
87.4
Recent Matches
Marin Cilic
- Last Match: vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-0) hard Shanghai 89 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Beijing 81 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-2) hard Hangzhou 153 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
Novak Djokovic
- Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Marin Cilic
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Marin Cilic and Novak Djokovic is set to take place in the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters, held on hard courts in China. Djokovic is heavily favored to win, with an 83.72% probability of victory, while Cilic has a mere 16.28% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 22.0.
Match Analysis
Novak Djokovic currently holds the 4th rank in the world, showcasing an impressive form index of 96.83 and an Elo rating of 3511.89. His fatigue level is at 0.0 minutes, indicating he has yet to exert himself in the current tournament. On the other hand, Marin Cilic is ranked 97th, with a form index of 47.37 and an Elo rating of 790.56. Cilic's fatigue level stands at 89.0 minutes, suggesting he has already been under considerable stress in this tournament. Djokovic possesses a significantly higher surface strength index of 31.26 compared to Cilic's 7.61, highlighting his superior adaptation to hard courts.
The mean serve index reveals a slight advantage for Cilic, who scores 96.32 compared to Djokovic's 94.90. However, Djokovic's mean return index of 87.42 is slightly better than Cilic's 86.80, indicating his proficiency in returning serves. In terms of recent performances, Djokovic has recorded three consecutive wins at the US Open, demonstrating dominance by winning all matches in straight sets. Conversely, Cilic's recent form shows inconsistency, with a win against Nikoloz Basilashvili in his last match, but losses to Jannik Sinner and Nishesh Basavareddy in the preceding matches.
Final Prediction
Djokovic's extensive experience and superior metrics across several key performance indicators provide him a clear advantage in this matchup. Cilic will need to find a way to overcome Djokovic's returning skills and physical conditioning to challenge the top seed effectively. One key factor to watch will be how Cilic manages his fatigue and whether he can maintain a competitive rhythm against Djokovic’s relentless style of play.