S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Nicolas Jarry vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #150
42%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #48
58%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Nicolas Jarry

  • Current #150 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #47 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #35 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #28 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #20 2024-06-10

Luciano Darderi

  • Current #48 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #60 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #44 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #41 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #41 2024-06-10

Player Metrics

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 14.7
ELO Rating: 1139.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1644.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 84.7

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 34.3
ELO Rating: 1196.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1575.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Nicolas Jarry
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Luciano Darderi
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Sebastian Korda (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) clay Hamburg 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Diego Dedura (2-0) clay Hamburg 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (0-2) clay Rome 78 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nicolas Jarry
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Nicolas Jarry and Luciano Darderi at the s-Hertogenbosch tournament in the Netherlands marks a crucial Round of 32 contest on grass. With a predicted total of 24 games, Darderi is favored to win with a probability of 58.49%, while Jarry stands at 41.51%.

Match Analysis

In the current rankings, Darderi holds a significant advantage at 48, compared to Jarry’s rank of 150. Both players have displayed varying levels of form, with Darderi posting a form index of 34.32, while Jarry's is notably lower at 14.67. Their Elo ratings also reflect this disparity, with Darderi at 1196.47, ahead of Jarry’s 1139.26. Neither player is experiencing fatigue, which could influence their performance positively on the grass surface. When it comes to serve and return metrics, Jarry holds a slight edge in mean serve index (97.69) over Darderi (95.75), but the difference is less than 5 points. However, Darderi surpasses Jarry in mean return index (86.56 vs. 84.69), indicating that Darderi may capitalize on Jarry's serve more effectively during the match. Reviewing their recent matches, both players faced challenges in their last outings at Roland Garros, but Darderi's victory against Brandon Nakashima in Hamburg indicates a better competitive form, despite both players having some difficulty on clay.

Final Prediction

Darderi's superior ranking, form index, and return capabilities provide him with a distinct edge going into this match. A key factor to observe will be how Jarry's serve performs against Darderi's return game, as this could dictate the flow and outcome of the match.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel